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Ivory Coast vs Norway — World Cup 2026 Prediction 30 June 2026

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
World Cup 2026
1
VS
2
schedule 30 Jun, 17:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 Jun 2026

Norway
Norway
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Ivory Coast vs Norway in the World Cup 2026. Norway is the favourite with a 46% win probability. Ivory Coast has a 26% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Ivory Coast vs Norway

This Round of 16 clash takes place in the climate-controlled Dallas Stadium, neutralizing the extreme Texas heat wave. Norway enters their first knockout game in 28 years with high psychological pressure but fresh legs for their core stars. Ivory Coast, the reigning African champions, possesses more recent tournament experience but lacks a definitive answer for a world-class #9 like Haaland.

#CIVNOR #FIFAWorldCup #WorldCup #WC26 #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%

Norway Clinical Dominance

45%

Haaland exploits the absence of Singo to score early, and Norway's rested midfield controls the tempo to secure a narrow victory.

Tactical Stalemate and ET

35%

Ivory Coast's physical midfield successfully frustrates Ødegaard, leading to a 1-1 draw in regulation time and a battle of attrition in extra time.

Ivorian Counter-Attack Surge

20%

Norway's high line is repeatedly punished by Adingra and Pépé, exposing the defensive frailties seen in the match against France.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group E

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group I

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
Ivory Coast
Norway
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Ivory Coast D Norway
15%
9%
76%
15% 9% 76%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 43%
0-2 15%
2-1 10%
1-3 8%
0-1 8%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 21% 0-0 16% 0-1 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 21%
0-0 16%
0-1 12%
Norway (Away)
Ivory Coast (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
16.0%
12.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
10.0%
21.0%
10.0%
3.0%
0.5%
2
4.0%
8.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probability is concentrated on a 1-1 draw due to Norway's statistical regression candidate (8 goals from 5.4 xG) and Ivory Coast's elite defensive structure. Market draw odds (+110) heavily skew the distribution toward a regulation deadlock.

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Coach AI Odds

Ivory Coast
26% · 28% · 46%
Norway
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.25

Home xG

1.55

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Ivory Coast Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 1 L
25/6 Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast W 1.80
20/6 Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast L 1.05
14/6 Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador W 1.10

Norway Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 1 L
26/6 Norway 1-4 France L 1.15
23/6 Norway 3-2 Senegal W 1.72
16/6 Iraq 1-4 Norway W 2.60
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Norway's offensive efficiency is elite, significantly overperforming their xG due to Erling Haaland's clinical finishing, whereas Ivory Coast plays strictly to their statistical expectations.

trending_up 2

Rest Advantage: While Ivory Coast had 24 hours more team recovery, Norway's stars (Haaland and Ødegaard) were fully rested during their final group game, giving them a physical edge in high-intensity phases.

person 3

Tactical Mismatch: Ivory Coast's disciplined mid-block will struggle with Norway's verticality and Martin Ødegaard's ability to find pockets of space between the lines.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Ivory Coast suffers a major defensive blow with Wilfried Singo ruled out (hamstring), forcing a reshuffle in the backline. Norway is likely without Julian Ryerson (thigh), but their squad depth in midfield allows Aursnes to cover, minimizing the tactical impact compared to Singo's absence for the Elephants.

star

Key Players

Ivory Coast

Nicolas Pépé ST
personIn Form
Franck Kessié CM
personKey Threat

Norway

Erling Haaland ST
personIn Form
Martin Ødegaard CAM
personIn Form
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Ivory Coast Expected

4-3-3

person
Adingra LW
person
Haller ST
person
Diallo RW
person
Sangaré CDM
person
Kessié CM
person
Fofana CM
person
Konan LB
person
Kossounou CB
person
Ndicka CB
person
Doué RB
person
Fofana GK

Lineup is stable; Amad Diallo is the primary creative spark following a strong group stage.

Norway Expected

4-3-3

person
Sørloth LW
person
Haaland ST
person
Bobb RW
person
Berge CDM
person
Ødegaard CM
person
Aursnes CM
person
Wolfe LB
person
Ajer CB
person
Hanche-Olsen CB
person
Ryerson RB
person
Nyland GK

Haaland and Ødegaard are fully rested. Defense remains the weakest link after conceding 7 group goals.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 26% for Ivory Coast, 28% draw and 46% for Norway.

What is the recent form of Ivory Coast and Norway?

Ivory Coast form (last 5): 2W-0D-1L. Norway form (last 5): 2W-0D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Ivory Coast suffers a major defensive blow with Wilfried Singo ruled out (hamstring), forcing a reshuffle in the backline. Norway is likely without Julian Ryerson (thigh), but their squad depth in midfield allows Aursnes to cover, minimizing the tactical impact compared to Singo's absence for the Elephants.

What is the most likely correct score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (21%), followed by 0-0 (16%) and 0-1 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Norway Clinical Dominance (45%): Haaland exploits the absence of Singo to score early, and Norway's rested midfield controls the tempo to secure a narrow victory. — Tactical Stalemate and ET (35%): Ivory Coast's physical midfield successfully frustrates Ødegaard, leading to a 1-1 draw in regulation time and a battle of attrition in extra time. — Ivorian Counter-Attack Surge (20%): Norway's high line is repeatedly punished by Adingra and Pépé, exposing the defensive frailties seen in the match against France.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Based on 178 predictors, 15% back a home win for Ivory Coast, 9% a draw, and 76% an away win for Norway. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Ivory Coast: fans pick 15% home win, Coach AI calculates 26%.

What is the most popular prediction for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

The most predicted scoreline for Ivory Coast vs Norway is 1-2. A total of 178 predictors have made their pick — 15% back Ivory Coast, 9% a draw and 76% Norway.

How confident are fans about Ivory Coast vs Norway?

76% of fans predict a win for Norway, with an average confidence of 64% (moderate confidence). Despite 76% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (64%) — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

What are the current standings for Ivory Coast and Norway in the FIFA World Cup?

Ivory Coast are 2nd in the FIFA World Cup with 6 points from 3 games. Norway are 2nd with 6 points from 3 games.

What are the expected lineups for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Expected lineup Ivory Coast (4-3-3): Yahia Fofana, Guela Doué, Odilon Kossounou, Evan Ndicka, Ghislain Konan, Ibrahim Sangaré, Franck Kessié, Seko Fofana, Amad Diallo, Sébastien Haller, Simon Adingra. Expected lineup Norway (4-3-3): Ørjan Nyland, Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, David Møller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard, Fredrik Aursnes, Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Alexander Sørloth. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Ivory Coast vs Norway kick off?

Ivory Coast vs Norway kicks off on Tuesday, 30 June 2026 at 19:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

What are the key factors for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Ivory Coast vs Norway: 1. Norway's offensive efficiency is elite, significantly overperforming their xG due to Erling Haaland's clinical finishing, whereas Ivory Coast plays strictly to their statistical expectations. 2. Rest Advantage: While Ivory Coast had 24 hours more team recovery, Norway's stars (Haaland and Ødegaard) were fully rested during their final group game, giving them a physical edge in high-intensity phases. 3. Tactical Mismatch: Ivory Coast's disciplined mid-block will struggle with Norway's verticality and Martin Ødegaard's ability to find pockets of space between the lines..

Who are the key players for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Ivory Coast vs Norway. Ivory Coast: Nicolas Pépé (In Form), Franck Kessié (Key Threat). Norway: Erling Haaland (In Form), Martin Ødegaard (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Ivory Coast vs Norway: Ivory Coast wins 26%, draw 28%, Norway wins 46%. The most likely outcome is Norway with 46%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Bookmakers give Ivory Coast a 28% win probability, 47% draw and Norway 25% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 26% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 42% draw and 32% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.