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Tunisia vs Netherlands — World Cup 2026 Prediction 25 June 2026

Tunisia
Tunisia
World Cup 2026
0
VS
3
schedule 25 Jun, 23:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 21 Jun 2026

Netherlands
Netherlands
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 for Tunisia vs Netherlands in the World Cup 2026. Netherlands is the favourite with a 70% win probability. Tunisia has a 12% chance of winning and 18% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Tunisia vs Netherlands

This is a high-stakes Matchday 3 for Group F. The Netherlands need a win to guarantee top spot and avoid heavyweights in the Round of 32. Tunisia is fighting for survival after a disastrous start. The game is played in Kansas City; expected high humidity may favor the technical possession style of the Dutch, allowing them to dictate the tempo and tire out a Tunisian side that struggled with high-intensity transitions against Sweden.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%

Dutch Offensive Dominance

65%

The Netherlands continue their scoring streak, exploiting Tunisia's fragile defense with high-tempo wing play for a comfortable multi-goal victory.

Pragmatic Professional Win

25%

Netherlands takes an early lead and controls possession to save energy for the knockouts, resulting in a lower-scoring but dominant 1-0 or 2-0 win.

Renard Defensive Masterclass

10%

Tunisia adopts a hyper-defensive low block under their new coach, frustrating the Dutch and grinding out a surprising draw.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group F

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Japan 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 Sweden 2 1 0 1 0 3
4 Tunisia 2 0 0 2 -8 0
Tunisia
Netherlands
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Tunisia D Netherlands
100%
0% 0% 100%

Most predicted scorelines

0-2 32%
0-3 22%
1-2 14%
0-4 8%
1-3 7%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

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Coach AI Odds

Tunisia
12% · 18% · 70%
Netherlands
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

0.75

Home xG

2.25

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Tunisia Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 1 L
15/6 Sweden 5-1 Tunisia L 0.95

Netherlands Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 0 L
20/6 Netherlands 5-1 Sweden W 1.65
14/6 Netherlands 2-2 Japan D 1.55
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Netherlands Offensive Momentum: The Oranje have scored 7 goals in 2 matches, including a 5-1 dismantling of Sweden, showcasing elite clinical finishing despite a relatively low xG (1.65).

trending_up 2

Tunisia Defensive Fragility: The 'Eagles of Carthage' conceded 5 goals in their opening match, leading to the sacking of their manager and the emergency appointment of Hervé Renard to fix a porous backline.

person 3

Tactical Mismatch: Ronald Koeman’s high-pressing 4-3-3 is designed to exploit teams that struggle with structural discipline, which aligns perfectly with Tunisia's recent defensive collapses.

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Injuries & Absentees

The Netherlands are dealing with the loss of Quinten Timber (concussion) and the pre-tournament absence of Jurriën Timber (groin). Captain Virgil van Dijk suffered a pinched nerve against Sweden but is expected to start to break the Dutch World Cup captaincy record. For Tunisia, there are no fresh physical injuries, but the mental impact of a 5-1 loss and a mid-tournament coaching change to Hervé Renard creates systemic uncertainty.

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Key Players

Tunisia

Hannibal Mejbri CAM
personKey Threat
Ellyes Skhiri CDM
personIn Form

Netherlands

Cody Gakpo LW
personIn Form
Virgil van Dijk CB
helpDoubtful

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 with a win probability of 12% for Tunisia, 18% draw and 70% for Netherlands.

What is the recent form of Tunisia and Netherlands?

Tunisia form (last 5): 0W-0D-1L. Netherlands form (last 5): 1W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

The Netherlands are dealing with the loss of Quinten Timber (concussion) and the pre-tournament absence of Jurriën Timber (groin). Captain Virgil van Dijk suffered a pinched nerve against Sweden but is expected to start to break the Dutch World Cup captaincy record. For Tunisia, there are no fresh physical injuries, but the mental impact of a 5-1 loss and a mid-tournament coaching change to Hervé Renard creates systemic uncertainty.

What are the possible match scenarios for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Dutch Offensive Dominance (65%): The Netherlands continue their scoring streak, exploiting Tunisia's fragile defense with high-tempo wing play for a comfortable multi-goal victory. — Pragmatic Professional Win (25%): Netherlands takes an early lead and controls possession to save energy for the knockouts, resulting in a lower-scoring but dominant 1-0 or 2-0 win. — Renard Defensive Masterclass (10%): Tunisia adopts a hyper-defensive low block under their new coach, frustrating the Dutch and grinding out a surprising draw.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Based on 90 predictors, 0% back a home win for Tunisia, 0% a draw, and 100% an away win for Netherlands. The most predicted scoreline is 0-2. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Tunisia: fans pick 0% home win, Coach AI calculates 12%.

What is the most popular prediction for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

The most predicted scoreline for Tunisia vs Netherlands is 0-2. A total of 90 predictors have made their pick — 0% back Tunisia, 0% a draw and 100% Netherlands.

How confident are fans about Tunisia vs Netherlands?

100% of fans predict a win for Netherlands, with an average confidence of 91% (high confidence).

What are the current standings for Tunisia and Netherlands in the FIFA World Cup?

Tunisia are 4th in the FIFA World Cup with 0 points from 2 games. Netherlands are 1st with 4 points from 2 games.

What time does Tunisia vs Netherlands kick off?

Tunisia vs Netherlands kicks off on Friday, 26 June 2026 at 01:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

What are the key factors for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tunisia vs Netherlands: 1. Netherlands Offensive Momentum: The Oranje have scored 7 goals in 2 matches, including a 5-1 dismantling of Sweden, showcasing elite clinical finishing despite a relatively low xG (1.65). 2. Tunisia Defensive Fragility: The 'Eagles of Carthage' conceded 5 goals in their opening match, leading to the sacking of their manager and the emergency appointment of Hervé Renard to fix a porous backline. 3. Tactical Mismatch: Ronald Koeman’s high-pressing 4-3-3 is designed to exploit teams that struggle with structural discipline, which aligns perfectly with Tunisia's recent defensive collapses..

Who are the key players for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Tunisia vs Netherlands. Tunisia: Hannibal Mejbri (Key Threat), Ellyes Skhiri (In Form). Netherlands: Cody Gakpo (In Form), Virgil van Dijk (Doubtful).

What are the Coach AI odds for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Tunisia vs Netherlands: Tunisia wins 12%, draw 18%, Netherlands wins 70%. The most likely outcome is Netherlands with 70%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.