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Juventus vs SL Benfica — Champions League Prediction 21 January 2026

Juventus
Juventus
Champions League
1
VS
1
schedule 21 Jan, 20:00 · Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

SL Benfica
SL Benfica
Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Juventus vs SL Benfica in the Champions League. Juventus is the favourite with a 51% win probability. SL Benfica has a 22% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Juventus vs SL Benfica

This is a pivotal Matchday 7 fixture in the Champions League league phase. Juventus, managed by Luciano Spalletti, aims to secure a top-16 spot to avoid the play-off round. Benfica, under José Mourinho, is fighting to stay in the top 24 after a volatile start to their European campaign.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
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Scenario Explanation

Statistical trends show Juventus consistently over-performing in possession metrics (averaging ~70%) but under-performing their xG in the absence of Vlahovic. While Kenan Yildiz and Jonathan David provide creative spark, they face a 'Mourinho-style' low block that recently neutralized Napoli and Ajax. Juventus remains unbeaten in 18 consecutive home matches, making a loss unlikely, but Benfica's tactical resurgence and clinical transitions (led by Vangelis Pavlidis) suggest they can secure a vital draw on the road.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
Juventus
SL Benfica
percent

Coach AI Odds

Juventus
51% · 27% · 22%
SL Benfica
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.58

Home xG

1.43

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Juventus Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
10/12 2-0 Win vs. Paphos FC
25/11 3-2 Win vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
4/11 1-1 Draw vs. Sporting Clube de Portugal
22/10 0-1 Loss vs. Real Madrid CF
1/10 2-2 Draw vs. Villarreal CF

SL Benfica Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
10/12 2-0 Win vs. SSC Napoli
25/11 2-0 Win vs. AFC Ajax
5/11 0-1 Loss vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
21/10 0-3 Loss vs. Newcastle United FC
30/9 0-1 Loss vs. Chelsea FC
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Dusan Vlahovic Absence: Juventus' leading striker is out with a thigh injury, severely impacting their finishing efficiency.

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Mourinho Factor: Since José Mourinho took over Benfica, they have regained defensive discipline, recording clean sheets against Napoli and Ajax.

person 3

Possession vs. Penetration: Juventus recently dominated Cagliari with 78% possession but lost 0-1, highlighting a vulnerability to clinical counter-attacking teams.

bolt 4

Head-to-Head Record: Benfica has won the last three competitive meetings against Juventus, holding a psychological edge.

insights 5

Qualification Pressure: Both teams are mid-table in the Champions League league phase (17th and 25th) and cannot afford a loss, likely leading to a cautious tactical approach.

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Injuries & Absentees

Juventus: Dusan Vlahovic (Thigh), Daniele Rugani (Calf), Jonas Rouhi (Muscular), Arkadiusz Milik (Fitness). Benfica: Alexander Bah (Knee), Dodi Lukebakio (Ankle), Richard Rios (Shoulder), Joao Veloso (Injury).

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Juventus vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 51% for Juventus, 27% draw and 22% for SL Benfica.

What is the recent form of Juventus and SL Benfica?

Juventus form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. SL Benfica form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Juventus vs SL Benfica?

Juventus: Dusan Vlahovic (Thigh), Daniele Rugani (Calf), Jonas Rouhi (Muscular), Arkadiusz Milik (Fitness). Benfica: Alexander Bah (Knee), Dodi Lukebakio (Ankle), Richard Rios (Shoulder), Joao Veloso (Injury).

What are the current standings for Juventus and SL Benfica in the UEFA Champions League?

Juventus are 13th in the UEFA Champions League with 13 points from 8 games. SL Benfica are 24th with 9 points from 8 games.

What time does Juventus vs SL Benfica kick off?

Juventus vs SL Benfica kicks off on Wednesday, 21 January 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Juventus vs SL Benfica?

The referee for Juventus vs SL Benfica in the Champions League is Serdar Gözübüyük.

What are the key factors for Juventus vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Juventus vs SL Benfica: 1. Dusan Vlahovic Absence: Juventus' leading striker is out with a thigh injury, severely impacting their finishing efficiency. 2. Mourinho Factor: Since José Mourinho took over Benfica, they have regained defensive discipline, recording clean sheets against Napoli and Ajax. 3. Possession vs. Penetration: Juventus recently dominated Cagliari with 78% possession but lost 0-1, highlighting a vulnerability to clinical counter-attacking teams. 4. Head-to-Head Record: Benfica has won the last three competitive meetings against Juventus, holding a psychological edge. 5. Qualification Pressure: Both teams are mid-table in the Champions League league phase (17th and 25th) and cannot afford a loss, likely leading to a cautious tactical approach..

What are the Coach AI odds for Juventus vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Juventus vs SL Benfica: Juventus wins 51%, draw 27%, SL Benfica wins 22%. The most likely outcome is Juventus with 51%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.