Football Meister Logo Play for free →

Newcastle vs PSV — Champions League Prediction 21 January 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Champions League
2
VS
2
schedule 21 Jan, 20:00 · Referee: Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

PSV
PSV
Final result
3 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

Discuss this match with AI

ChatGPT Claude Perplexity Google AI Grok Reddit

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-2 for Newcastle vs PSV in the Champions League. Newcastle is the favourite with a 66% win probability. PSV has a 16% chance of winning and 18% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Newcastle vs PSV

This is Matchday 7 of the Champions League League Phase. Newcastle (12th, 10 pts) is pushing for a Top 8 spot to bypass the playoff round, while PSV (21st, 8 pts) needs points to solidify their place in the Top 24. Newcastle is traditionally dominant at home but faces a patched-together defense against a PSV side on a 6-match winning streak.

#NEWPSV #ChampionsLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
analytics
explore

Scenario Explanation

Newcastle's recent xG data shows they are creating chances (1.60 xG vs Wolves) but failing to convert, a dangerous trend against a clinical PSV side. PSV's ability to absorb pressure and strike late (73% of CL goals in 2nd half) aligns perfectly with Newcastle's current defensive vulnerability caused by injuries to key starters like Schär and Burn. While St James' Park provides a massive boost, PSV's unbeaten away record in Europe this season suggests they have the tactical discipline to exploit Newcastle's high line and secure a high-scoring draw.
table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
Newcastle
PSV
percent

Coach AI Odds

Newcastle
66% · 18% · 16%
PSV
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.94

Home xG

1.32

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▼
18/1 0-0 Draw vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.60
7/1 4-3 Win vs. Leeds United FC
4/1 2-0 Win vs. Crystal Palace FC
30/12 3-1 Win vs. Burnley FC
26/12 0-1 Loss vs. Manchester United FC

PSV Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
17/1 2-1 Win vs. Fortuna Sittard 2.29
10/1 5-1 Win vs. SBV Excelsior
21/12 2-1 Win vs. FC Utrecht
13/12 4-3 Win vs. Heracles Almelo
9/12 2-3 Loss vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Newcastle's defensive crisis with Schär, Burn, and Livramento all sidelined.

trending_up 2

PSV's elite European away form, including a 4-1 win at Anfield earlier this campaign.

person 3

Newcastle's recent finishing struggles, underperforming a 1.60 xG in their 0-0 draw with Wolves.

bolt 4

PSV's late-game potency, with 11 of their 15 Champions League goals coming in the second half.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle: Fabian Schär (ankle), Dan Burn (chest/ribs), Tino Livramento (hamstring), Jamaal Lascelles, and Emil Krafth are out. PSV: Ismael Saibari (suspended), Ricardo Pepi (forearm), Sergino Dest, and Ruben van Bommel (knee) are unavailable.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

Play along in the app!

Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.

Start your free league →
chevron_left

Previous match

Juventus
Juventus

vs

SL Benfica
SL Benfica

21 Jan · 21:00

Next match

PSV
PSV

vs

Bayern
Bayern

28 Jan · 21:00

chevron_right

Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs PSV?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-2 with a win probability of 66% for Newcastle, 18% draw and 16% for PSV.

What is the recent form of Newcastle and PSV?

Newcastle form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. PSV form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs PSV?

Newcastle: Fabian Schär (ankle), Dan Burn (chest/ribs), Tino Livramento (hamstring), Jamaal Lascelles, and Emil Krafth are out. PSV: Ismael Saibari (suspended), Ricardo Pepi (forearm), Sergino Dest, and Ruben van Bommel (knee) are unavailable.

What are the current standings for Newcastle and PSV in the UEFA Champions League?

Newcastle are 12th in the UEFA Champions League with 14 points from 8 games. PSV are 28th with 8 points from 8 games.

What time does Newcastle vs PSV kick off?

Newcastle vs PSV kicks off on Wednesday, 21 January 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Newcastle vs PSV?

The referee for Newcastle vs PSV in the Champions League is Daniel Siebert.

What are the key factors for Newcastle vs PSV?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs PSV: 1. Newcastle's defensive crisis with Schär, Burn, and Livramento all sidelined. 2. PSV's elite European away form, including a 4-1 win at Anfield earlier this campaign. 3. Newcastle's recent finishing struggles, underperforming a 1.60 xG in their 0-0 draw with Wolves. 4. PSV's late-game potency, with 11 of their 15 Champions League goals coming in the second half..

What are the Coach AI odds for Newcastle vs PSV?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Newcastle vs PSV: Newcastle wins 66%, draw 18%, PSV wins 16%. The most likely outcome is Newcastle with 66%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.