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PSG vs Newcastle: Champions League Prediction 28 January 2026

PSG
PSG
Champions League
2
VS
1
schedule 28 Jan, 21:00 · Referee: Slavko Vinčič (Slovenia)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for PSG vs Newcastle in the Champions League. PSG comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: PSG vs Newcastle

PSG and Newcastle drew 1-1 in the Champions League on 28 January 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right.

Result1-1
Coach AI2-1not right
FansPSG win (100%)not right
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Pre-match preview: PSG vs Newcastle

This is a 'Final' for the Top 8. PSG holds a significant rest advantage (2 extra days) after a Friday domestic fixture, while Newcastle enters following a taxing 2-0 loss to Aston Villa. The weather in Paris is expected to be a cool 7°C with light winds, providing no significant advantage to either side, but the intimidating atmosphere of the Parc des Princes will weigh heavily on a depleted Magpies squad seeking revenge for the controversial 1-1 draw in 2023.

#PSGNEW #PSG #Newcastle #ChampionsLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
55%
25%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The narrative centers on PSG's relentless shot volume (nearly 20 per match) meeting a Newcastle defense that has been statistically 'stubborn' but is now physically broken. While Newcastle has conceded the fewest first-half goals in the league phase, the absence of their physical engine room (Joelinton/Bruno) will allow PSG to sustain pressure in the final third. I expect PSG to dominate possession (60%+) and eventually break through via Ousmane Dembélé’s directness. Value Tip: The market may overvalue PSG's recent loss to Sporting; however, their underlying metrics remain elite. Newcastle +1.0 Asian Handicap looks risky given their injury list, making 'PSG Win & Both Teams to Score' the high-probability play. Probability Estimates: PSG Win 55%, Draw 25%, Newcastle Win 20%.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 FC Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Aston Villa FC 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 VfB Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Liverpool FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Real Madrid CF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Real Betis Balompié 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 FC Bayern München 2 1 1 0 +5 4
11 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Como 1907 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
14 Villarreal CF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
15 Club Atlético de Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Club Brugge KV 2 1 0 1 0 3
17 Manchester City FC 2 1 0 1 0 3
18 Borussia Dortmund 2 1 0 1 0 3
19 Racing Club de Lens 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 PAE AEK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
21 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 -2 3
22 Sabah FK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
23 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 -3 3
24 FK Bodø/Glimt 2 1 0 1 -4 3
25 AS Roma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
26 PSV 2 0 1 1 -1 1
27 Viking FK 2 0 1 1 -2 1
28 Fenerbahçe SK 2 0 1 1 -6 1
29 FC Internazionale Milano 2 0 0 2 -2 0
30 FC Porto 2 0 0 2 -3 0
31 SK Slavia Praha 2 0 0 2 -3 0
32 SSC Napoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
33 LASK Linz 2 0 0 2 -4 0
34 Lille OSC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
35 Galatasaray SK 2 0 0 2 -5 0
36 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2 0 0 2 -8 0
PSG
Newcastle
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

PSG D Newcastle
100%
100% 0% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 38%
3-1 25%
3-0 13%
2-0 13%
5-1 13%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

PSG Newcastle
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.15

Home xG

1.35

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

PSG Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▼
20/1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 1.95
10/12 Athletic Club 0-0 Paris Saint-Germain FC D
26/11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5-3 Tottenham Hotspur FC W
4/11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1-2 FC Bayern München L
21/10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-7 Paris Saint-Germain FC W

Newcastle Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▼
25/1 Newcastle United FC 0-2 Aston Villa FC L 1.91
21/1 Newcastle United FC 3-0 PSV W 1.94
18/1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-0 Newcastle United FC D 1.60
7/1 Newcastle United FC 4-3 Leeds United FC W
4/1 Newcastle United FC 2-0 Crystal Palace FC W
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

High-Stakes Permutations: Both teams are level on 13 points (6th and 7th); a win guarantees a Top 8 finish and direct Round of 16 entry, while a loss likely forces a playoff round.

trending_up 2

Midfield Depletion: Newcastle is severely weakened by the absence of Joelinton (groin) and a major fitness cloud over Bruno Guimarães (ankle), likely compromising their transition defense.

person 3

PSG xG Regression: Despite recent finishing issues (xG 1.95 for 1 goal vs Sporting), PSG averages 20 shots per game and is statistically due for an efficiency correction at home.

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Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle faces a critical injury crisis: Schär, Livramento, and Joelinton are confirmed out, while Bruno Guimarães is a massive doubt. The loss of Schär and Livramento forces a makeshift backline that will struggle with PSG's pace. PSG welcomes back Hakimi and João Neves to the squad, though neither may be fit for a full 90-minute shift, placing extra pressure on Vitinha and youngster Senny Mayulu to control the tempo.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of PSG vs Newcastle?

PSG and Newcastle drew 1-1 in the Champions League on 28 January 2026.

Did Coach AI predict PSG vs Newcastle correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted PSG win (100%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for PSG vs Newcastle?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for PSG vs Newcastle. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of PSG and Newcastle?

PSG form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Newcastle form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for PSG vs Newcastle?

Newcastle faces a critical injury crisis: Schär, Livramento, and Joelinton are confirmed out, while Bruno Guimarães is a massive doubt. The loss of Schär and Livramento forces a makeshift backline that will struggle with PSG's pace. PSG welcomes back Hakimi and João Neves to the squad, though neither may be fit for a full 90-minute shift, placing extra pressure on Vitinha and youngster Senny Mayulu to control the tempo.

What do football fans and other predictors think about PSG vs Newcastle?

Among Football Meister players, 100% back a home win for PSG, 0% a draw, and 0% an away win for Newcastle. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on PSG: fans pick 100% home win, Coach AI calculates 60%.

What is the most popular prediction for PSG vs Newcastle?

The most predicted scoreline for PSG vs Newcastle is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 100% back PSG, 0% a draw and 0% Newcastle.

What time does PSG vs Newcastle kick off?

PSG vs Newcastle kicks off on Wednesday, 28 January 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for PSG vs Newcastle?

The referee for PSG vs Newcastle in the Champions League is Slavko Vinčič.

What are the key factors for PSG vs Newcastle?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for PSG vs Newcastle: 1. High-Stakes Permutations: Both teams are level on 13 points (6th and 7th); a win guarantees a Top 8 finish and direct Round of 16 entry, while a loss likely forces a playoff round. 2. Midfield Depletion: Newcastle is severely weakened by the absence of Joelinton (groin) and a major fitness cloud over Bruno Guimarães (ankle), likely compromising their transition defense. 3. PSG xG Regression: Despite recent finishing issues (xG 1.95 for 1 goal vs Sporting), PSG averages 20 shots per game and is statistically due for an efficiency correction at home..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for PSG vs Newcastle?

Coach AI sees PSG as the stronger side in PSG vs Newcastle. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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