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PSV vs Atleti — Champions League Prediction 9 December 2025

PSV
PSV
Champions League
2
VS
1
schedule 09 Dec, 20:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

Atleti
Atleti
Final result
2 – 3
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for PSV vs Atleti in the Champions League. PSV is the favourite with a 45% win probability. Atleti has a 25% chance of winning and 30% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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PSV vs Atleti

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analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
PSV
Atleti
percent

Coach AI Odds

PSV
45% · 30% · 25%
Atleti
W D L

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

PSV Recent Form — Last 5

Atleti Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

PSV's formidable home form and potent attack, especially in the Champions League, including recent high-scoring wins against top opponents like Liverpool and Napoli.

trending_up 2

Atlético Madrid's concerning away form in the Champions League this season, having lost all two away games and conceding seven goals.

person 3

Atlético Madrid's historically dominant head-to-head record against PSV, remaining unbeaten in all previous encounters.

bolt 4

Significant injury issues for Atlético Madrid, particularly in key defensive and midfield positions.

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Injuries & Absentees

For PSV, Alassane Plea is sidelined for the remainder of 2025 due to a knee injury, and Ruben van Bommel is also out. Ivan Perisic is also a notable absentee, though Couhaib Driouech has stepped up in his absence. Ricardo Pepi is still recovering from a significant ACL injury. Atlético Madrid faces a more extensive injury list. Key defender José María Giménez is out with a hamstring issue, and Johnny Cardoso misses out due to a knee bruise. Robin Le Normand is also absent with a knee injury. Clément Lenglet was injured against Athletic Bilbao and is unavailable. Other reported absentees include Álex Baena, Marcos Llorente, and Javi Galán.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for PSV vs Atleti?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 45% for PSV, 30% draw and 25% for Atleti.

What is the recent form of PSV and Atleti?

PSV form (last 5): no data. Atleti form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for PSV vs Atleti?

For PSV, Alassane Plea is sidelined for the remainder of 2025 due to a knee injury, and Ruben van Bommel is also out. Ivan Perisic is also a notable absentee, though Couhaib Driouech has stepped up in his absence. Ricardo Pepi is still recovering from a significant ACL injury. Atlético Madrid faces a more extensive injury list. Key defender José María Giménez is out with a hamstring issue, and Johnny Cardoso misses out due to a knee bruise. Robin Le Normand is also absent with a knee injury. Clément Lenglet was injured against Athletic Bilbao and is unavailable. Other reported absentees include Álex Baena, Marcos Llorente, and Javi Galán.

What are the current standings for PSV and Atleti in the UEFA Champions League?

PSV are 28th in the UEFA Champions League with 8 points from 8 games. Atleti are 14th with 13 points from 8 games.

What time does PSV vs Atleti kick off?

PSV vs Atleti kicks off on Tuesday, 9 December 2025 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for PSV vs Atleti?

The referee for PSV vs Atleti in the Champions League is Michael Oliver.

What are the key factors for PSV vs Atleti?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for PSV vs Atleti: 1. PSV's formidable home form and potent attack, especially in the Champions League, including recent high-scoring wins against top opponents like Liverpool and Napoli. 2. Atlético Madrid's concerning away form in the Champions League this season, having lost all two away games and conceding seven goals. 3. Atlético Madrid's historically dominant head-to-head record against PSV, remaining unbeaten in all previous encounters. 4. Significant injury issues for Atlético Madrid, particularly in key defensive and midfield positions..

What are the Coach AI odds for PSV vs Atleti?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for PSV vs Atleti: PSV wins 45%, draw 30%, Atleti wins 25%. The most likely outcome is PSV with 45%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.