RB Leipzig vs PSV: Champions League Prediction 13 October 2026

RB Leipzig beat PSV 1-0 in the Champions League on 13 October 2026. Goals: Brajan Gruda 75', RB Leipzig.

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted RB Leipzig win (86%), which was right.

Most pool points in this match: Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig), 2 from 1 goal.

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for RB Leipzig vs PSV. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

RB Leipzig form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. PSV form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

Leipzig is without Baumgartner (hamstring) and Guiu, while Johan Bakayoko is a late disciplinary exclusion. PSV's situation is more critical upfront with Pepi, Pléa, and Wanner all ruled out, leaving Peter Bosz with limited options to lead the line.

Leipzig Clinical Efficiency (54%): Leipzig's high-intensity transitions and Nkunku's current form overwhelm a PSV defense that has conceded in four consecutive away games.; End-to-End Goal Exchange (25%): Both teams find success in attacking transitions, leading to a high-scoring affair where individual quality overrides defensive structure.; Tactical Midfield Stalemate (21%): PSV successfully dominates possession to slow the tempo, limiting Leipzig's counter-attacking opportunities and forcing a lower-scoring draw.

Among Football Meister players, 86% back a home win for RB Leipzig, 0% a draw, and 14% an away win for PSV. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on RB Leipzig: fans pick 86% home win, Coach AI calculates 54%.

The most predicted scoreline for RB Leipzig vs PSV is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 86% back RB Leipzig, 0% a draw and 14% PSV.

86% of fans predict a win for RB Leipzig, with an average confidence of 56% (moderate confidence). Despite 86% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (56%), a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

14% of Football Meister players expect Ridle Baku to score in RB Leipzig vs PSV.

RB Leipzig are 21st in the UEFA Champions League with 3 points from 2 games. PSV are 26th with 1 points from 2 games.

Confirmed lineup RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1): Maarten Vandevoordt, David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Ridle Baku, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Neil El Aynaoui, Brajan Gruda, Antonio Nusa, Christopher Nkunku, Romulo Cruz. Confirmed lineup PSV (4-2-3-1): Matej Kovar, Filip Kostić, Armando Obispo, Lutsharel Geertruida, Sergiño Dest, Mauro Júnior, Kodai Sano, Guus Til, Sven Mijnans, Ruben van Bommel, Ivan Perišić. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Goal scorers in RB Leipzig vs PSV: Brajan Gruda 75', RB Leipzig. Final score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV.

RB Leipzig vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

The referee for RB Leipzig vs PSV in the Champions League is Nick Walsh.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for RB Leipzig vs PSV: 1. RB Leipzig enters with extreme home momentum, having scored 14 goals in their last three matches at the Red Bull Arena, including a 6-0 thrashing of Eintracht Frankfurt. 2. PSV is facing a severe striker shortage following confirmed matchday absences for Ricardo Pepi and Alassane Pléa, forcing Sven Mijnans into a makeshift attacking role. 3. Leipzig winger Johan Bakayoko has been excluded from the matchday squad for disciplinary reasons as of 13:00 UTC today, though the hosts' attack remains potent with Nkunku in hat-trick form..

Coach AI has identified the following key players for RB Leipzig vs PSV. RB Leipzig: Christopher Nkunku (In Form), Antonio Nusa (Key Threat). PSV: Guus Til (Key Threat), Ruben van Bommel (In Form).

Coach AI sees RB Leipzig as the stronger side in RB Leipzig vs PSV. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.