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Real Madrid vs PSV: Champions League Prediction 24 November 2026

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions League
2
VS
1
schedule 24 Nov, 21:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 12 Nov 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Federico Valverde sports_soccer Kylian Mbappé
PSV
PSV
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Real Madrid vs PSV in the Champions League. Real Madrid comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid vs PSV

Coach AI's correct score prediction for Real Madrid vs PSV is 2-1 (Real Madrid win). Across 171 played Champions League matches, Coach AI predicted the right outcome in 58% and the exact score in 8%.

lightbulb

Real Madrid vs PSV

This is a lopsided matchup where Real Madrid (#2) aims to secure a top-8 finish for a bye, while PSV (#24) is fighting for its life in the playoff spots. Madrid has a massive motivation to maintain their perfect record at the Bernabéu, where they average 2.4 goals per game.

#RMAPSV #RealMadrid #PSV #ChampionsLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match scenarios

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
15%

Clinical Bernabéu Dominance

60%

Real Madrid controls possession and uses their superior transition speed to secure a multi-goal victory.

High-Scoring Exchange

25%

Madrid's offensive stars outscore PSV, but their defensive injury crisis allows the visitors to exploit gaps on the counter.

Resilient Dutch Block

15%

PSV stays compact and manages to frustrate Madrid's stars, potentially stealing a surprise draw if the home side is wasteful.

Which scenario do you pick?

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 4 0 0 +15 12
2 Real Madrid CF 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Arsenal FC 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Como 1907 4 3 0 1 +13 9
5 FC Barcelona 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Aston Villa FC 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 Manchester City FC 4 3 0 1 +5 9
8 Liverpool FC 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 Club Brugge KV 4 3 0 1 +4 9
10 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 3 0 1 +4 9
11 Real Betis Balompié 4 3 0 1 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +2 9
13 FC Bayern München 4 2 2 0 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 +3 7
15 FC Internazionale Milano 4 2 0 2 +2 6
16 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 +1 6
17 Manchester United FC 4 2 0 2 0 6
18 Galatasaray SK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe SK 4 1 2 1 -5 5
20 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 +2 4
21 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 2 0 4
22 Viking FK 4 1 1 2 -1 4
23 Club Atlético de Madrid 4 1 1 2 -1 4
24 PSV 4 1 1 2 -1 4
25 FK Bodø/Glimt 4 1 1 2 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 1 0 3 -1 3
27 SSC Napoli 4 1 0 3 -5 3
28 Villarreal CF 4 1 0 3 -6 3
29 PAE AEK 4 1 0 3 -6 3
29 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 1 0 3 -6 3
32 Feyenoord Rotterdam 4 1 0 3 -7 3
33 Racing Club de Lens 4 1 0 3 -12 3
34 SK Slavia Praha 4 0 1 3 -4 1
35 Lille OSC 4 0 1 3 -6 1
36 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 -16 0
Real Madrid
PSV

Coach AI analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Real Madrid PSV
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.35

Home xG

1.05

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Recent Form: Last 5

4 W · 0 D · 1 L
▲
▲
▲
▲
4/11 PAE AEK 2-3 Real Madrid CF W 2.35
21/10 Real Madrid CF 4-1 RB Leipzig W 2.15
14/10 AS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid CF W 1.75
8/9 Real Madrid CF 2-1 FC Internazionale Milano W 2.15
15/4 FC Bayern München 4-3 Real Madrid CF L 1.68

PSV logo PSV Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▲
▼
▲
▼
8/11 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2-5 PSV W 2.35
4/11 PSV 1-2 Club Brugge KV L 2.15
31/10 PSV 7-0 Willem II Tilburg W 3.55
25/10 PSV 1-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam D 2.12
20/10 FC Porto 0-1 PSV W 1.48
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Real Madrid holds a perfect Champions League record (4-0-0), averaging 3.25 goals per game, demonstrating elite offensive efficiency.

trending_up 2

Real Madrid faces a significant defensive crisis with several central defenders injured (Asencio, Konaté, and Mendy recovering), which PSV's Mijnans and Til could exploit.

person 3

PSV struggles in European competition compared to domestic form, scoring only 0.75 goals per game in the CL despite heavy wins in the Eredivisie.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Real Madrid is without Rodrygo (ACL) and Raúl Asencio (fracture). Aurélien Tchouaméni is a major doubt following an adductor injury during the November international break. PSV is missing key defensive midfielder Jerdy Schouten (ACL) and striker Alassane Pléa (surgery), with Ricardo Pepi doubtful, forcing Guus Til into a makeshift striker role.

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Key Players

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé FWD
personIn Form
Federation Valverde MID
personKey Threat

PSV

Sven Mijnans MID
personIn Form
Guus Til MID
personKey Threat

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the correct score prediction for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Real Madrid vs PSV. Across 171 played Champions League matches, Coach AI predicted the right outcome in 58% and the exact score in 8%. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Real Madrid and PSV?

Real Madrid form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. PSV form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Real Madrid is without Rodrygo (ACL) and Raúl Asencio (fracture). Aurélien Tchouaméni is a major doubt following an adductor injury during the November international break. PSV is missing key defensive midfielder Jerdy Schouten (ACL) and striker Alassane Pléa (surgery), with Ricardo Pepi doubtful, forcing Guus Til into a makeshift striker role.

What are the possible match scenarios for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Clinical Bernabéu Dominance (60%): Real Madrid controls possession and uses their superior transition speed to secure a multi-goal victory.; High-Scoring Exchange (25%): Madrid's offensive stars outscore PSV, but their defensive injury crisis allows the visitors to exploit gaps on the counter.; Resilient Dutch Block (15%): PSV stays compact and manages to frustrate Madrid's stars, potentially stealing a surprise draw if the home side is wasteful.

What are the current standings for Real Madrid and PSV in the UEFA Champions League?

Real Madrid are 2nd in the UEFA Champions League with 12 points from 4 games. PSV are 24th with 4 points from 4 games.

What time does Real Madrid vs PSV kick off?

Real Madrid vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

What are the key factors for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Real Madrid vs PSV: 1. Real Madrid holds a perfect Champions League record (4-0-0), averaging 3.25 goals per game, demonstrating elite offensive efficiency. 2. Real Madrid faces a significant defensive crisis with several central defenders injured (Asencio, Konaté, and Mendy recovering), which PSV's Mijnans and Til could exploit. 3. PSV struggles in European competition compared to domestic form, scoring only 0.75 goals per game in the CL despite heavy wins in the Eredivisie..

Who are the key players for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Real Madrid vs PSV. Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (In Form), Federation Valverde (Key Threat). PSV: Sven Mijnans (In Form), Guus Til (Key Threat).

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Real Madrid vs PSV?

Coach AI sees Real Madrid as the stronger side in Real Madrid vs PSV. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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