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Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt — Champions League Prediction 17 March 2026

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Champions League
3
VS
1
schedule 17 Mar, 17:45 · Referee: Sandro Schärer (Switzerland)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
Final result
5 – 0
CoachAI prediction
3 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League. Sporting CP is the favourite with a 58% win probability. Bodø/Glimt has a 20% chance of winning and 22% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt

This is a high-stakes Round of 16 second leg at the Estádio José Alvalade. Sporting has been flawless at home in the UCL (4/4 wins), but they face a 'mountain to climb' against a Bodø/Glimt side that hasn't lost in 2026. Tactical battle: Sporting's 4-2-3-1 aggressive possession vs. Bodø's vertical 4-3-3. Sporting's need for three goals creates a 'Rock-Paper-Scissors' vulnerability where their offensive risk meets Bodø's clinical finishing efficiency.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

40%
45%
15%
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Scenario Explanation

1 victory for the hosts is statistically probable, though the 3-0 first-leg cushion should see Bodø through.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
Sporting CP
Bodø/Glimt
percent

Coach AI Odds

Sporting CP
58% · 22% · 20%
Bodø/Glimt
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.95

Home xG

1.45

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Sporting CP Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
11/3 FK Bodø/Glimt 3-0 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1.48
28/1 Athletic Club 2-3 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1.55
20/1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 1.55
9/12 FC Bayern München 3-1 Sporting Clube de Portugal L
26/11 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3-0 Club Brugge KV W

Bodø/Glimt Recent Form — Last 5

5 W · 0 D · 0 L
11/3 FK Bodø/Glimt 3-0 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1.52
24/2 FC Internazionale Milano 1-2 FK Bodø/Glimt W 1.35
18/2 FK Bodø/Glimt 3-1 FC Internazionale Milano W 1.45
28/1 Club Atlético de Madrid 1-2 FK Bodø/Glimt W 1.15
20/1 FK Bodø/Glimt 3-1 Manchester City FC W 1.58
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sporting CP must overturn a 3-0 deficit, necessitating a high-intensity high press from the first whistle.

trending_up 2

The return of creative fulcrum Pedro 'Pote' Gonçalves and wing-back Maximiliano Araújo from suspension provides a massive boost to Sporting’s offensive efficiency.

person 3

Bodø/Glimt possess the highest 'big chance to shot' ratio in the competition (3.36), making them lethal on the counter-attack as Sporting leaves space in transition.

bolt 4

Strong winds in Lisbon (up to 80 km/h) and a yellow weather warning may disrupt long-ball tactics and benefit Sporting's short-passing ground game.

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Injuries & Absentees

Sporting CP remains without Fotis Ioannidis (knee) and the Chelsea-bound Geovany Quenda (foot), while winter signing Luís Guilherme is a major doubt after missing training. The absence of Quenda reduces Sporting’s 1v1 threat on the flank. Conversely, Bodø/Glimt enters the match with a fully fit squad, allowing Kjetil Knutsen to field the same XI that has defeated City, Inter, and Atlético.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt?

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 with a win probability of 58% for Sporting CP, 22% draw and 20% for Bodø/Glimt.

What is the recent form of Sporting CP and Bodø/Glimt?

Sporting CP form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. Bodø/Glimt form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt?

Sporting CP remains without Fotis Ioannidis (knee) and the Chelsea-bound Geovany Quenda (foot), while winter signing Luís Guilherme is a major doubt after missing training. The absence of Quenda reduces Sporting’s 1v1 threat on the flank. Conversely, Bodø/Glimt enters the match with a fully fit squad, allowing Kjetil Knutsen to field the same XI that has defeated City, Inter, and Atlético.

What are the current standings for Sporting CP and Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League?

Sporting CP are 7th in the UEFA Champions League with 16 points from 8 games. Bodø/Glimt are 23rd with 9 points from 8 games.

What time does Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt kick off?

Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt kicks off on Tuesday, 17 March 2026 at 18:45 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt?

The referee for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League is Sandro Schärer.

What are the key factors for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt: 1. Sporting CP must overturn a 3-0 deficit, necessitating a high-intensity high press from the first whistle. 2. The return of creative fulcrum Pedro 'Pote' Gonçalves and wing-back Maximiliano Araújo from suspension provides a massive boost to Sporting’s offensive efficiency. 3. Bodø/Glimt possess the highest 'big chance to shot' ratio in the competition (3.36), making them lethal on the counter-attack as Sporting leaves space in transition. 4. Strong winds in Lisbon (up to 80 km/h) and a yellow weather warning may disrupt long-ball tactics and benefit Sporting's short-passing ground game..

What are the Coach AI odds for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Sporting CP vs Bodø/Glimt: Sporting CP wins 58%, draw 22%, Bodø/Glimt wins 20%. The most likely outcome is Sporting CP with 58%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.