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Tottenham vs Dortmund — Champions League Prediction 20 January 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Champions League
1
VS
2
schedule 20 Jan, 20:00 · Referee: Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

Dortmund
Dortmund
Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Tottenham vs Dortmund in the Champions League. Dortmund is the favourite with a 41% win probability. Tottenham has a 32% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Tottenham vs Dortmund

This is a critical Champions League League Phase matchday where both teams sit closely in the standings (Dortmund 10th, Tottenham 11th). While Spurs have historically dominated this UCL fixture (4 wins in 4), they enter this match in 14th place in the Premier League and are winless in 2026. Dortmund, by contrast, are 2nd in the Bundesliga and arrive with high momentum.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 xG for 1 goal vs West Ham), which will be punished by a Dortmund side that has averaged over 3 goals per game in recent European fixtures. A 1-2 scoreline reflects Tottenham's ability to remain competitive at home while acknowledging their current defensive and finishing vulnerabilities.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
Tottenham
Dortmund
percent

Coach AI Odds

Tottenham
32% · 27% · 41%
Dortmund
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.48

Home xG

2.05

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▼
17/1 1-2 Loss vs. West Ham United FC 1.61
7/1 2-3 Loss vs. AFC Bournemouth
4/1 1-1 Draw vs. Sunderland AFC
1/1 0-0 Draw vs. Brentford FC
28/12 1-0 Win vs. Crystal Palace FC

Dortmund Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
10/12 2-2 Draw vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
25/11 4-0 Win vs. Villarreal CF
5/11 1-4 Loss vs. Manchester City FC
21/10 4-2 Win vs. FC København
1/10 4-1 Win vs. Athletic Club
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Tottenham Injury Crisis: Spurs are reportedly missing up to 15 senior players, including key creative hubs Maddison and Kulusevski.

trending_up 2

Tactical Stability: Niko Kovac has Dortmund in a 7-match unbeaten run, while Thomas Frank is under immense pressure following a winless start to 2026.

person 3

xG Efficiency: Tottenham underperformed their xG (1.61) in their recent loss to West Ham, whereas Dortmund's attack has been clinical, scoring 14 goals in their last four UCL victories.

bolt 4

Midfield Depletion: With Palhinha, Bentancur, and Sarr out, Tottenham are forced to rely on teenagers Gray and Bergvall against a seasoned Dortmund unit featuring Jobe Bellingham and Julian Brandt.

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Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham: James Maddison (ACL), Dejan Kulusevski (knee), Mohammed Kudus (thigh), Micky van de Ven (suspended), Pape Matar Sarr (AFCON/illness), Ben Davies (ankle), and Richarlison (thigh). Borussia Dortmund: Marcel Sabitzer (calf) is the only major absentee; Aaron Anselmino is returning from a hamstring injury.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Tottenham vs Dortmund?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 32% for Tottenham, 27% draw and 41% for Dortmund.

What is the recent form of Tottenham and Dortmund?

Tottenham form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Dortmund form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tottenham vs Dortmund?

Tottenham: James Maddison (ACL), Dejan Kulusevski (knee), Mohammed Kudus (thigh), Micky van de Ven (suspended), Pape Matar Sarr (AFCON/illness), Ben Davies (ankle), and Richarlison (thigh). Borussia Dortmund: Marcel Sabitzer (calf) is the only major absentee; Aaron Anselmino is returning from a hamstring injury.

What are the current standings for Tottenham and Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League?

Tottenham are 4th in the UEFA Champions League with 17 points from 8 games. Dortmund are 17th with 11 points from 8 games.

What time does Tottenham vs Dortmund kick off?

Tottenham vs Dortmund kicks off on Tuesday, 20 January 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Tottenham vs Dortmund?

The referee for Tottenham vs Dortmund in the Champions League is Glenn Nyberg.

What are the key factors for Tottenham vs Dortmund?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tottenham vs Dortmund: 1. Tottenham Injury Crisis: Spurs are reportedly missing up to 15 senior players, including key creative hubs Maddison and Kulusevski. 2. Tactical Stability: Niko Kovac has Dortmund in a 7-match unbeaten run, while Thomas Frank is under immense pressure following a winless start to 2026. 3. xG Efficiency: Tottenham underperformed their xG (1.61) in their recent loss to West Ham, whereas Dortmund's attack has been clinical, scoring 14 goals in their last four UCL victories. 4. Midfield Depletion: With Palhinha, Bentancur, and Sarr out, Tottenham are forced to rely on teenagers Gray and Bergvall against a seasoned Dortmund unit featuring Jobe Bellingham and Julian Brandt..

What are the Coach AI odds for Tottenham vs Dortmund?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Tottenham vs Dortmund: Tottenham wins 32%, draw 27%, Dortmund wins 41%. The most likely outcome is Dortmund with 41%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.