Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Chelsea FORM
Everton FORM
Key Factors
Chelsea's formidable home record against Everton (unbeaten in 30 Premier League home games since 1994), despite their current dip in form.
Everton's strong recent form, having won four of their last five Premier League matches and showcasing a significantly improved defense.
Significant injuries and suspensions impacting both squads, with Chelsea missing key midfielders like Moises Caicedo and long-term absentees, while Everton welcomes back Idrissa Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam from suspension.
Injuries & Absentees
Chelsea is significantly impacted by injuries and suspensions. Midfielder Moises Caicedo is serving the last of his three-game suspension. Forward Liam Delap is sidelined with a shoulder injury and is expected to be out for several weeks. Romeo Lavia is out with a thigh injury, potentially until the new year, while Levi Colwill (ACL injury) and Dario Essugo (thigh) are long-term absentees. Mykhailo Mudryk is also suspended due to a doping violation. However, Cole Palmer, who was rested midweek, is available to start, and Wesley Fofana has recovered from an eye injury. For Everton, key defenders Seamus Coleman (hamstring) and Jarrad Branthwaite (hamstring) remain unavailable, with Merlin Röhl (hernia) also out. In better news, Idrissa Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam return from their respective suspensions, and Thierno Barry, despite a minor shoulder issue, is expected to be fit.
Play along in the app!
Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.
Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Chelsea vs Everton?
Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 45% for Chelsea, 30% draw and 25% for Everton.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.