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Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
1
VS
2
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 08 May 2026

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Final result
1 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Match Insight

This is a high-stakes match for Villa, who are defending their 4th place against Manchester United and Liverpool. They also have a Europa League semi-final on the horizon, which might cause slight rotation or fatigue. Fulham is strong at home (64% of their points won at Craven Cottage), but they have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.

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Match Scenario's

45%
30%
25%
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Scenario Explanation

1) Villa's superior quality and Top 4 urgency result in a narrow away win (45% likelihood). 2) A hard-fought draw (1-1) due to Villa's fatigue from European commitments and Fulham's defensive organization at home (30% likelihood). 3) Fulham finally regresses to the mean regarding their xG and pulls off a home upset (25% likelihood). The most probable outcome is a clinical 1-2 victory for the visitors, given Unai Emery's perfect 8-0 record against Marco Silva.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.38

Home xG

1.62

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham FORM

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
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▼
▲
▼
▼
18/4 Brentford FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.35
11/4 Liverpool FC 2-0 Fulham FC L 1.20
21/3 Fulham FC 3-1 Burnley FC W 1.58
15/3 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.38
4/3 Fulham FC 0-1 West Ham United FC L 1.57

Aston Villa FORM

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▲
▼
19/4 Aston Villa FC 4-3 Sunderland AFC W 1.64
12/4 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Aston Villa FC D 1.52
22/3 Aston Villa FC 2-0 West Ham United FC W 1.72
15/3 Manchester United FC 3-1 Aston Villa FC L 1.25
4/3 Aston Villa FC 1-4 Chelsea FC L 1.42
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Aston Villa has won the last 6 consecutive head-to-head matches against Fulham.

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Fulham is suffering from a massive xG underperformance, scoring only 3 goals from 7.08 xG in their last 5 matches.

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Villa is highly motivated by the Champions League race (4th), while Fulham sits comfortably in 12th with less immediate pressure.

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Injuries & Absentees

Fulham is significantly weakened by the absence of Alex Iwobi (thigh) and Kenny Tete (ankle), which reduces their transitional pace. Villa remains without Boubacar Kamara (knee), but their depth in midfield with Onana and Tielemans should compensate.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 30% for Fulham, 26% draw and 44% for Aston Villa.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.