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Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
1
VS
1
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 08 May 2026

Everton
Everton
Final result
1 – 2
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Match Insight

This is a direct '6-pointer' for 9th place, with both teams locked on 34 points. The psychology favors a stalemate; Everton have drawn 3 of their last 5 and are unbeaten in 4 at Craven Cottage. Weather conditions in London (chilly 10°C with saturated ground from persistent rain) favor a physical, low-scoring battle over a fluid tactical display.

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Match Scenario's

55%
40%
35%
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Scenario Explanation

1 result with a late Everton equalizer via Thierno Barry or Beto.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.28

Home xG

1.16

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham FORM

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
1/2 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC L 1.18
24/1 Fulham FC 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 1.25
17/1 Leeds United FC 1-0 Fulham FC L 1.27
7/1 Fulham FC 2-1 Chelsea FC W
4/1 Fulham FC 2-2 Liverpool FC D

Everton FORM

1 W · 3 D · 1 L
31/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Everton FC D 1.15
26/1 Everton FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.42
18/1 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Everton FC W 1.25
7/1 Everton FC 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D
4/1 Everton FC 2-4 Brentford FC L
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Key Factors

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Everton boast the 6th-best away record in the league, conceding only 11 goals in 12 road matches—second only to Arsenal.

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Fulham's high-volume wing play (Wilson/Chukwueze) faces a 'parked bus' tactical challenge against Moyes' narrow defensive block.

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Advanced metrics show Everton over-performing defensive xG (33.30 xGA vs 25 actual) while Fulham's defense consistently concedes late (losses vs Man Utd/Leeds).

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton are significantly hampered by the loss of Jack Grealish (foot), their primary creative outlet (6 assists). His absence shifts the burden to Ndiaye and newcomer Tyrique George, reducing Everton's ball retention. Fulham welcome back Rodrigo Muniz and Oscar Bobb, but their lack of match fitness likely limits them to bench roles, leaving Raul Jimenez to lead a frontline that has struggled with efficiency (below xG in 2 of last 3).

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Everton?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 45% for Fulham, 29% draw and 26% for Everton.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.