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Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
2
VS
1
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 08 May 2026

West Ham
West Ham
Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Match Insight

This London Derby features high stakes at both ends of the table. Fulham (10th) is making a late charge for European spots, sitting just 5 points behind 6th-place Chelsea. Conversely, West Ham (18th) is in the heart of a desperate relegation scrap. Weather conditions at Craven Cottage are expected to be clear and a cool 10°C, providing an ideal surface for Fulham’s possession-based style (51.7% avg possession).

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Match Scenario's

55%
30%
15%
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Scenario Explanation

1 draw, relying on Jarrod Bowen’s counter-attacking threat. A high-scoring Fulham blowout (15%) is possible if West Ham's morale collapses early as it did against Liverpool, but Nuno Espírito Santo's pragmatic setup usually prevents total capitulation in derbies.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.57

Home xG

1.35

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham FORM

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
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1/3 Fulham FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.62
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC W 1.12
11/2 Manchester City FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 0.88
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC L 1.28
1/2 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC L 1.18

West Ham FORM

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
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28/2 Liverpool FC 5-2 West Ham United FC L 1.05
21/2 West Ham United FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth D 1.48
10/2 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester United FC D 1.55
7/2 Burnley FC 0-2 West Ham United FC W 1.45
31/1 Chelsea FC 3-2 West Ham United FC L 1.05
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Key Factors

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Defensive Fragility: West Ham has conceded 54 goals this season (1.93 per match), the third-worst record in the league, making them highly vulnerable to Fulham's vertical transitions.

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Form Divergence: Fulham enters on a three-match winning streak across all competitions, including a high-efficiency 2-1 victory over Tottenham (1.62 xG), while West Ham is reeling from a 5-2 thrashing by Liverpool.

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Home Fortress & Second Half Trend: Fulham has won 4 of their last 5 matches at Craven Cottage and statistically scores in the second half in 90% of their home league games this season.

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Injuries & Absentees

Fulham faces a late fitness test for influential winger Harry Wilson (ankle), with Samuel Chukwueze ready to start. However, the return of center-back Joachim Andersen from illness is a massive boost to stabilize their backline. West Ham remains without January signing Pablo (calf) and the suspended Freddie Potts, thinning their midfield options against Fulham's high-intensity engine room.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs West Ham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 46% for Fulham, 26% draw and 28% for West Ham.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.