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Nottingham
Nottingham
Premier League
1
VS
2
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 08 May 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Final result
0 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Match Insight

This is a high-stakes match for Forest, who sit in the relegation zone (#18) and are desperate for points. However, the 'City Ground' factor is dampened by the physical toll of their European campaign. Fulham sits comfortably in 12th, effectively safe, but looking to snap a two-game losing streak and push for a top-half finish.

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Match Scenario's

45%
35%
20%
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: Fulham Win (45% likelihood). Fulham's tactical superiority in midfield and Forest's defensive fatigue make an away win the most probable outcome. Scenario 2: Draw (35% likelihood). Forest’s desperation and home support could lead to a gritty defensive performance, especially if Fulham fails to clinical in the final third. Scenario 3: Forest Win (20% likelihood). A low-probability outcome requiring a standout performance from Morgan Gibbs-White and a collapse in Fulham's away concentration.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.22

Home xG

1.38

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Nottingham FORM

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
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▼
▼
4/3 Manchester City FC 2-2 Nottingham Forest FC D 0.82
1/3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-1 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.10
22/2 Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Liverpool FC L 1.15
11/2 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D 1.42
6/2 Leeds United FC 3-1 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.18

Fulham FORM

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▼
4/3 Fulham FC 0-1 West Ham United FC L 1.57
1/3 Fulham FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.62
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC W 1.12
11/2 Manchester City FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 0.88
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC L 1.28
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Nottingham Forest is suffering from severe fatigue after a draining Europa League clash against Midtjylland on Thursday, leaving them with less than 72 hours of recovery.

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Fulham has dominated this fixture recently, winning 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings, including a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

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Forest's finishing efficiency is a major concern; they have consistently underperformed their xG in recent weeks (e.g., 0 goals from 1.42 xG vs Wolves) and are missing top scorer Chris Wood.

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Injuries & Absentees

Forest is facing an injury crisis with starting goalkeeper Stefan Ortega, backup John Victor, and key striker Chris Wood all ruled out. Defender Willy Boly is also sidelined. Fulham is relatively healthy, with Harry Wilson returning to the squad, though Raul Jimenez is a late assessment following personal circumstances.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Fulham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 38% for Nottingham, 28% draw and 34% for Fulham.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.