Coach AI Odds
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Belgium Recent Form — Last 5
Iran Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Belgium showed significant underperformance against Egypt (2.15 xG vs 1 goal), suggesting a high probability of offensive regression to the mean.
Iran's low-block defensive structure (PPDA ~16.5) will challenge Belgium's ability to break down a 'parked bus', a recurring tactical struggle for Tedesco's side.
Belgium has a 24-hour rest advantage (played June 15 vs Iran's June 16), which is critical in the high-intensity heat expected for this mid-day US kickoff.
Injuries & Absentees
Belgium is likely without veteran Jan Vertonghen (CB) due to a minor calf strain; Zeno Debast is expected to deputize, offering more speed but less positional discipline. Iran has a fully fit squad, though full-back Mohammadi is one yellow card away from suspension.
Key Players
Belgium
Iran
Expected Lineups
Expected — may change before kickoff4-2-3-1
Lukaku returns to the XI; Doku (illness) and Debast (injury) are the primary absences.
4-4-2
Captain Jahanbakhsh remains a major doubt; Ghoddos is fighting to be fit after an ankle knock.
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Belgium vs Iran?
Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 with a win probability of 67% for Belgium, 20% draw and 13% for Iran.
What is the recent form of Belgium and Iran?
Belgium form (last 5): 0W-1D-0L. Iran form (last 5): 0W-1D-0L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Belgium vs Iran?
Belgium is likely without veteran Jan Vertonghen (CB) due to a minor calf strain; Zeno Debast is expected to deputize, offering more speed but less positional discipline. Iran has a fully fit squad, though full-back Mohammadi is one yellow card away from suspension.
What is the most likely correct score for Belgium vs Iran?
According to the score probability matrix, 2-0 is the most likely scoreline (17%), followed by 3-0 (12%) and 3-1 (11%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Belgium vs Iran?
Belgian Breakthrough (55%): Belgium controls the tempo and eventually breaches the Iranian low block through individual brilliance or a set-piece in the second half. — Resilient Iranian Draw (30%): Iran successfully absorbs pressure for 90 minutes, aided by elite goalkeeping and Belgium's continued poor finishing. — Counter-Attack Clincher (15%): Iran exploits Belgium's high defensive line on the break, securing a narrow victory against the run of play.
What do football fans and other predictors think about Belgium vs Iran?
Based on 215 predictors, 88% back a home win for Belgium, 7% a draw, and 6% an away win for Iran. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Belgium: fans pick 88% home win, Coach AI calculates 67%.
What is the most popular prediction for Belgium vs Iran?
The most predicted scoreline for Belgium vs Iran is 2-0. A total of 215 predictors have made their pick — 88% back Belgium, 7% a draw and 6% Iran.
How confident are fans about Belgium vs Iran?
88% of fans predict a win for Belgium, with an average confidence of 72% (high confidence).
What are the current standings for Belgium and Iran in the FIFA World Cup?
Belgium are 1st in the FIFA World Cup with 5 points from 3 games. Iran are 3rd with 3 points from 3 games.
What are the expected lineups for Belgium vs Iran?
Expected lineup Belgium (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois, Thomas Meunier, Brandon Mechele, Nathan Ngoy, Maxim De Cuyper, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, Leandro Trossard, Kevin De Bruyne, Dodi Lukebakio, Romelu Lukaku. Expected lineup Iran (4-4-2): Alireza Beiranvand, Ramin Rezaeian, Shoja Khalilzadeh, Ali Nemati, Milad Mohammadi, Mohammad Mohebi, Saeid Ezatolahi, Saman Ghoddos, Mehdi Ghayedi, Mehdi Taremi, Shahriar Moghanlou. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.
What time does Belgium vs Iran kick off?
Belgium vs Iran kicks off on Sunday, 21 June 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.
Who is the referee for Belgium vs Iran?
The referee for Belgium vs Iran in the World Cup 2026 is Darío Herrera.
What are the key factors for Belgium vs Iran?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Belgium vs Iran: 1. Belgium showed significant underperformance against Egypt (2.15 xG vs 1 goal), suggesting a high probability of offensive regression to the mean. 2. Iran's low-block defensive structure (PPDA ~16.5) will challenge Belgium's ability to break down a 'parked bus', a recurring tactical struggle for Tedesco's side. 3. Belgium has a 24-hour rest advantage (played June 15 vs Iran's June 16), which is critical in the high-intensity heat expected for this mid-day US kickoff..
Who are the key players for Belgium vs Iran?
Coach AI has identified the following key players for Belgium vs Iran. Belgium: Kevin De Bruyne (Key Threat), Jérémy Doku (In Form). Iran: Mehdi Taremi (Key Threat), Alireza Beiranvand (In Form).
What are the Coach AI odds for Belgium vs Iran?
Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Belgium vs Iran: Belgium wins 67%, draw 20%, Iran wins 13%. The most likely outcome is Belgium with 67%.
What are the bookmaker odds for Belgium vs Iran?
Bookmakers give Belgium a 70% win probability, 21% draw and Iran 9% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 64% for Belgium, 21% draw and 15% for Iran.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.