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Uruguay vs Cape Verde — World Cup 2026 Prediction 21 June 2026

Uruguay
Uruguay
World Cup 2026
2
VS
0
schedule 21 Jun, 22:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 17 Jun 2026

Cape Verde
Cape Verde
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 for Uruguay vs Cape Verde in the World Cup 2026. Uruguay is the favourite with a 65% win probability. Cape Verde has a 10% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Uruguay vs Cape Verde

This is a pivotal Group H match at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Both teams have 1 point. Uruguay's squad suffered from flight delays and administrative fatigue before their first match, but they have now had five days to recover. Bielsa's tactical setup is a 'rock-paper-scissors' clash: his high verticality vs. Cape Verde's disciplined 4-5-1. The psychological pressure is on Uruguay, who cannot afford another draw before facing Spain.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Sustained Pressure Breakthrough

55%

Uruguay’s high press and shot volume eventually overwhelm the Cape Verde defense, leading to a multi-goal victory.

Defensive Stalemate

30%

Cape Verde successfully parks the bus for 90 minutes, benefiting from Uruguay's finishing struggles and fatigue.

Blue Sharks Counterattack

15%

Uruguay overextends in the heat, allowing Cape Verde to score on a rare counter-attack or set-piece.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group H

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay 1 0 1 0 0 1
2 Saudi Arabia 1 0 1 0 0 1
3 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
4 Cape Verde Islands 1 0 1 0 0 1
Uruguay
Cape Verde
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Uruguay D Cape Verde
79%
15%
79% 15% 6%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 35%
1-0 19%
2-1 9%
3-0 8%
1-1 6%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

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Coach AI Odds

Uruguay
65% · 25% · 10%
Cape Verde
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.10

Home xG

0.55

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Uruguay Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 0 L
15/6 Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay D 1.94

Cape Verde Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 0 L
15/6 Spain 0-0 Cape Verde Islands D 0.45
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Uruguay dominated possession (67%) and shot volume (22 in the second half) against Saudi Arabia but failed to convert an xG of 1.94, suggesting a regression to the mean is likely if finishing improves.

trending_up 2

Cape Verde displayed an elite low block against Spain, allowing only 0.45 xG, but will face a more direct and physically taxing high press from Bielsa’s Uruguay.

person 3

Miami's extreme June humidity will test Uruguay's high-intensity pressing style, potentially slowing the game pace and favoring Cape Verde's defensive stamina.

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Injuries & Absentees

Uruguay is without key playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta (muscle injury), which limits their creativity against deep-sitting defenses. Cape Verde remains at full strength, with veteran keeper Vozinha coming off a 'Player of the Match' performance against Spain.

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Key Players

Uruguay

Darwin Núñez ST
personKey Threat
Federico Valverde CM
personIn Form

Cape Verde

Vozinha GK
personIn Form
Logan Costa CB
personKey Threat

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 with a win probability of 65% for Uruguay, 25% draw and 10% for Cape Verde.

What is the recent form of Uruguay and Cape Verde?

Uruguay form (last 5): 0W-1D-0L. Cape Verde form (last 5): 0W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Uruguay is without key playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta (muscle injury), which limits their creativity against deep-sitting defenses. Cape Verde remains at full strength, with veteran keeper Vozinha coming off a 'Player of the Match' performance against Spain.

What are the possible match scenarios for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Sustained Pressure Breakthrough (55%): Uruguay’s high press and shot volume eventually overwhelm the Cape Verde defense, leading to a multi-goal victory. — Defensive Stalemate (30%): Cape Verde successfully parks the bus for 90 minutes, benefiting from Uruguay's finishing struggles and fatigue. — Blue Sharks Counterattack (15%): Uruguay overextends in the heat, allowing Cape Verde to score on a rare counter-attack or set-piece.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Based on 129 predictors, 79% back a home win for Uruguay, 15% a draw, and 6% an away win for Cape Verde. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Uruguay: fans pick 79% home win, Coach AI calculates 65%.

What is the most popular prediction for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

The most predicted scoreline for Uruguay vs Cape Verde is 2-0. A total of 129 predictors have made their pick — 79% back Uruguay, 15% a draw and 6% Cape Verde.

How confident are fans about Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

79% of fans predict a win for Uruguay, with an average confidence of 57% (moderate confidence). Notably, the 6% backing a win for Cape Verde are actually more confident (86%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.

What are the current standings for Uruguay and Cape Verde in the FIFA World Cup?

Uruguay are 1st in the FIFA World Cup with 1 points from 1 games. Cape Verde are 4th with 1 points from 1 games.

What time does Uruguay vs Cape Verde kick off?

Uruguay vs Cape Verde kicks off on Monday, 22 June 2026 at 00:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

What are the key factors for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Uruguay vs Cape Verde: 1. Uruguay dominated possession (67%) and shot volume (22 in the second half) against Saudi Arabia but failed to convert an xG of 1.94, suggesting a regression to the mean is likely if finishing improves. 2. Cape Verde displayed an elite low block against Spain, allowing only 0.45 xG, but will face a more direct and physically taxing high press from Bielsa’s Uruguay. 3. Miami's extreme June humidity will test Uruguay's high-intensity pressing style, potentially slowing the game pace and favoring Cape Verde's defensive stamina..

Who are the key players for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Uruguay vs Cape Verde. Uruguay: Darwin Núñez (Key Threat), Federico Valverde (In Form). Cape Verde: Vozinha (In Form), Logan Costa (Key Threat).

What are the Coach AI odds for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Uruguay vs Cape Verde: Uruguay wins 65%, draw 25%, Cape Verde wins 10%. The most likely outcome is Uruguay with 65%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.