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Brazil vs Morocco — World Cup 2026 Prediction 13 June 2026

Brazil
Brazil
World Cup 2026
2
VS
1
schedule 13 Jun, 22:00 · Referee: Slavko Vinčič (Slovenia)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 16 Jun 2026

Morocco
Morocco
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Brazil vs Morocco in the World Cup 2026. Brazil is the favourite with a 55% win probability. Morocco has a 19% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Brazil vs Morocco

This is a marquee Group C opener at MetLife Stadium (NJ). Brazil is under immense pressure to perform, but Ancelotti's arrival has stabilized their attack (10 goals in last 3 friendlies). Morocco remains dangerous on the counter-attack through Brahim Díaz, but the high humidity and 90°F heat in New Jersey may favor Brazil's deeper bench and rotation options.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Samba Dominance

55%

Brazil controls possession and breaks through Morocco's depleted defense late in the first half, holding off a late surge.

Atlas Low Block

30%

Morocco sits deep and frustrates Brazil's wingers, resulting in a low-scoring tactical stalemate or a 0-0 draw.

Counter-Attack Stunner

15%

Hakimi and Díaz catch Brazil's high defensive line off guard to steal an early lead and defend it heroically.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group C

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
2 Morocco 1 0 1 0 0 1
3 Brazil 1 0 1 0 0 1
4 Haiti 1 0 0 1 -1 0
Brazil
Morocco
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Brazil D Morocco
74%
17%
9%
74% 17% 9%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 28%
3-1 15%
2-0 10%
2-2 8%
1-1 8%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

1-0 18% 1-1 16% 0-0 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 18%
1-1 16%
0-0 12%
Morocco (Away)
Brazil (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
12.0%
8.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1
18.0%
16.0%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2
9.0%
11.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
4.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probability is concentrated in the 1-0 and 1-1 cells. Brazil's lack of Rodrygo/Neymar reduces their multi-goal efficiency against Morocco's low block (Signal: Under 2.5 odds). Morocco's loss of Aguerd prevents a clean sheet focus, making 1-1 highly probable (Signal: Brazil defensive rotation).

percent

Coach AI Odds

Brazil
55% · 26% · 19%
Morocco
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.75

Home xG

1.05

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Brazil Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.

Morocco Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Brazil enters as heavy favorite under Carlo Ancelotti, looking to end a 24-year World Cup drought on American soil where they last won in 1994.

trending_up 2

Morocco is managing a significant transition; long-term coach Regragui departed in March 2026, and they are missing defensive pillar Nayef Aguerd.

person 3

Tactical mismatch: Brazil's high-volume wing play (Vinícius/Raphinha) will test Morocco's weakened low block, which lacks Aguerd's aerial and organizational presence.

bolt 4

Historical context: Morocco defeated Brazil 2-1 in a 2023 friendly, but Brazil has won 7 of their last 8 World Cup matches against African opposition.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Brazil is without Neymar Jr (Grade 2 calf strain) and right-back Wesley (thigh injury). Ederson has been called up as a tactical replacement, likely forcing Danilo into a more traditional defensive role. Morocco suffers even more significantly, losing both starting CB Nayef Aguerd and winger Ez Abde just days before kickoff, forcing inexperienced replacements Marwane Saadane and Amine Sbai into the spotlight.

star

Key Players

Brazil

Vinícius Júnior LW
personIn Form
Alisson Becker GK
personIn Form

Morocco

Achraf Hakimi RB
personKey Threat
Brahim Díaz CAM
personIn Form
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Brazil Expected

4-2-3-1

person
Júnior LW
person
Endrick ST
person
Raphinha RW
person
Paquetá CAM
person
Casemiro CDM
person
Guimarães CM
person
Sandro LB
person
Marquinhos CB
person
Magalhães CB
person
Danilo RB
person
Becker GK

Rodrygo and Militão out for the tournament. Neymar not expected to start. Ederson (Atalanta) called up as depth.

Morocco Expected

4-3-3

person
Khannouss LW
person
Saibari ST
person
Diaz RW
person
Amrabat CDM
person
Ounahi CM
person
Aynaoui CM
person
Mazraoui LB
person
Diop CB
person
Riad CB
person
Hakimi RB
person
Bounou GK

Aguerd and Ezzalzouli confirmed out. Mazraoui carries a shoulder injury but is expected to push for a start.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Brazil vs Morocco?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 55% for Brazil, 26% draw and 19% for Morocco.

What is the recent form of Brazil and Morocco?

Brazil form (last 5): no data. Morocco form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Brazil vs Morocco?

Brazil is without Neymar Jr (Grade 2 calf strain) and right-back Wesley (thigh injury). Ederson has been called up as a tactical replacement, likely forcing Danilo into a more traditional defensive role. Morocco suffers even more significantly, losing both starting CB Nayef Aguerd and winger Ez Abde just days before kickoff, forcing inexperienced replacements Marwane Saadane and Amine Sbai into the spotlight.

What is the most likely correct score for Brazil vs Morocco?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (18%), followed by 1-1 (16%) and 0-0 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Brazil vs Morocco?

Samba Dominance (55%): Brazil controls possession and breaks through Morocco's depleted defense late in the first half, holding off a late surge. — Atlas Low Block (30%): Morocco sits deep and frustrates Brazil's wingers, resulting in a low-scoring tactical stalemate or a 0-0 draw. — Counter-Attack Stunner (15%): Hakimi and Díaz catch Brazil's high defensive line off guard to steal an early lead and defend it heroically.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Brazil vs Morocco?

Based on 301 predictors, 74% back a home win for Brazil, 17% a draw, and 9% an away win for Morocco. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Brazil: fans pick 74% home win, Coach AI calculates 55%.

What is the most popular prediction for Brazil vs Morocco?

The most predicted scoreline for Brazil vs Morocco is 2-1. A total of 301 predictors have made their pick — 74% back Brazil, 17% a draw and 9% Morocco.

How confident are fans about Brazil vs Morocco?

74% of fans predict a win for Brazil, with an average confidence of 71% (high confidence). Notably, the 9% backing a win for Morocco are actually more confident (77%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.

What are the current standings for Brazil and Morocco in the FIFA World Cup?

Brazil are 3rd in the FIFA World Cup with 1 points from 1 games. Morocco are 2nd with 1 points from 1 games.

What are the expected lineups for Brazil vs Morocco?

Expected lineup Brazil (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker, Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhães, Alex Sandro, Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães, Lucas Paquetá, Raphinha, Endrick, Vinícius Júnior. Expected lineup Morocco (4-3-3): Yassine Bounou, Achraf Hakimi, Issa Diop, Chadi Riad, Noussair Mazraoui, Sofyan Amrabat, Azzedine Ounahi, Neil El Aynaoui, Brahim Diaz, Ismael Saibari, Bilal El Khannouss. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Brazil vs Morocco kick off?

Brazil vs Morocco kicks off on Sunday, 14 June 2026 at 00:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

Who is the referee for Brazil vs Morocco?

The referee for Brazil vs Morocco in the World Cup 2026 is Slavko Vinčič.

What are the key factors for Brazil vs Morocco?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Brazil vs Morocco: 1. Brazil enters as heavy favorite under Carlo Ancelotti, looking to end a 24-year World Cup drought on American soil where they last won in 1994. 2. Morocco is managing a significant transition; long-term coach Regragui departed in March 2026, and they are missing defensive pillar Nayef Aguerd. 3. Tactical mismatch: Brazil's high-volume wing play (Vinícius/Raphinha) will test Morocco's weakened low block, which lacks Aguerd's aerial and organizational presence. 4. Historical context: Morocco defeated Brazil 2-1 in a 2023 friendly, but Brazil has won 7 of their last 8 World Cup matches against African opposition..

Who are the key players for Brazil vs Morocco?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Brazil vs Morocco. Brazil: Vinícius Júnior (In Form), Alisson Becker (In Form). Morocco: Achraf Hakimi (Key Threat), Brahim Díaz (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Brazil vs Morocco?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Brazil vs Morocco: Brazil wins 55%, draw 26%, Morocco wins 19%. The most likely outcome is Brazil with 55%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Brazil vs Morocco?

Bookmakers give Brazil a 59% win probability, 24% draw and Morocco 17% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 50% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 31% draw and 19% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.