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Haiti vs Scotland — World Cup 2026 Prediction 14 June 2026

Haiti
Haiti
World Cup 2026
0
VS
2
schedule 14 Jun, 01:00 · Referee: Mustapha Ghorbal
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 16 Jun 2026

Scotland
Scotland
Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
0 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 for Haiti vs Scotland in the World Cup 2026. Scotland is the favourite with a 63% win probability. Haiti has a 12% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Haiti vs Scotland

Played at the Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, the weather is expected to be humid (70%) with a moderate chance of thunderstorms (35%). These heavy conditions may favor the physically resilient Haitian side. Referee Mustapha Ghorbal is an experienced but sometimes controversial official, known for a strict interpretation of fouls which could hinder Scotland's aggressive pressing.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%

Scotland Professional Win

65%

Scotland controls possession, scores via a set-piece or a McTominay late run, and manages the game to a comfortable 2-0 finish.

The Low Block Grind

25%

Haiti's goalkeeper Johnny Placide has a standout performance, frustrating Scotland until a late, nervy goal or a 0-0 draw.

Haitian Counter Surprise

10%

Isidor's pace catches Scotland's backline off-guard on a counter-attack, forcing Scotland to chase the game and potentially leave more gaps.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group C

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
2 Morocco 1 0 1 0 0 1
3 Brazil 1 0 1 0 0 1
4 Haiti 1 0 0 1 -1 0
Haiti
Scotland
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Haiti D Scotland
9%
87%
3% 9% 87%

Most predicted scorelines

0-2 36%
0-1 18%
0-3 15%
1-2 7%
1-1 6%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

0-1 19% 0-2 15% 1-1 12%
grid_on

Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 19%
0-2 15%
1-1 12%
Scotland (Away)
Haiti (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
19.0%
15.0%
7.0%
2.0%
1
6.0%
12.0%
9.0%
3.0%
0.0%
2
3.0%
6.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

The matrix skews toward a 0-1 and 0-2 Scotland victory because Scotland’s attack often relies on low-volume, high-quality set-piece chances (Souttar/McTominay), while Haiti’s missing midfield anchor (Pierre) exposes them to central transitions.

percent

Coach AI Odds

Haiti
12% · 25% · 63%
Scotland
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

0.85

Home xG

2.15

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Haiti Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.

Scotland Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Tactical Mismatch: Scotland's organized 3-4-2-1 structure is designed to dominate the middle third, while Haiti relies on high-velocity transitions through Wilson Isidor and Duckens Nazon.

trending_up 2

Set-Piece Superiority: Scotland has a significant height and routine advantage in dead-ball situations, which is likely to be the primary method for breaking Haiti's low block.

person 3

Mental Burden: Scotland returns to the World Cup after 28 years with a 'must-win' pressure, while Haiti, entering as heavy underdogs, faces less psychological weight despite FIFA's recent kit controversy distracting their buildup.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Scotland is missing the technical composure of Billy Gilmour (knee injury), replaced by teenager Tyler Fletcher. Scott McTominay is a minor doubt due to a stomach bug but is expected to start. Haiti arrives with a largely fit squad, bolstered by Wilson Isidor's recent international switch and high-scoring form at Sunderland.

star

Key Players

Haiti

Wilson Isidor ST
personKey Threat
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde CM
personIn Form

Scotland

Andy Robertson LB
personIn Form
Scott McTominay CDM
helpDoubtful
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Haiti Confirmed

4-4-2

person
Isidor LW
person
Nazon ST
person
Pierrot ST
person
Etienne RW
person
Jacques CM
person
Bellegarde CM
person
Christian LB
person
Adé CB
person
Duverne CB
person
Arcus RB
person
Placide GK

Leverton Pierre is out; Metusala expected to provide bench cover for a back-five shift if needed.

Scotland Confirmed

4-4-2

person
McGinn LW
person
Shankland ST
person
Adams ST
person
Doak RW
person
McTominay CM
person
Ferguson CM
person
Robertson LB
person
Souttar CB
person
Hanley CB
person
Hickey RB
person
Gunn GK

Billy Gilmour is a major absence; Tyler Fletcher included in squad but Ferguson likely to start.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Haiti vs Scotland?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 with a win probability of 12% for Haiti, 25% draw and 63% for Scotland.

What is the recent form of Haiti and Scotland?

Haiti form (last 5): no data. Scotland form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Haiti vs Scotland?

Scotland is missing the technical composure of Billy Gilmour (knee injury), replaced by teenager Tyler Fletcher. Scott McTominay is a minor doubt due to a stomach bug but is expected to start. Haiti arrives with a largely fit squad, bolstered by Wilson Isidor's recent international switch and high-scoring form at Sunderland.

What is the most likely correct score for Haiti vs Scotland?

According to the score probability matrix, 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (19%), followed by 0-2 (15%) and 1-1 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Haiti vs Scotland?

Scotland Professional Win (65%): Scotland controls possession, scores via a set-piece or a McTominay late run, and manages the game to a comfortable 2-0 finish. — The Low Block Grind (25%): Haiti's goalkeeper Johnny Placide has a standout performance, frustrating Scotland until a late, nervy goal or a 0-0 draw. — Haitian Counter Surprise (10%): Isidor's pace catches Scotland's backline off-guard on a counter-attack, forcing Scotland to chase the game and potentially leave more gaps.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Haiti vs Scotland?

Based on 287 predictors, 3% back a home win for Haiti, 9% a draw, and 87% an away win for Scotland. The most predicted scoreline is 0-2. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

What is the most popular prediction for Haiti vs Scotland?

The most predicted scoreline for Haiti vs Scotland is 0-2. A total of 287 predictors have made their pick — 3% back Haiti, 9% a draw and 87% Scotland.

How confident are fans about Haiti vs Scotland?

87% of fans predict a win for Scotland, with an average confidence of 71% (high confidence). Notably, the 9% backing a draw are actually more confident (75%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.

What are the current standings for Haiti and Scotland in the FIFA World Cup?

Haiti are 4th in the FIFA World Cup with 0 points from 1 games. Scotland are 1st with 3 points from 1 games.

What are the expected lineups for Haiti vs Scotland?

Expected lineup Haiti (4-4-2): Johny Placide, Carlens Arcus, Ricardo Adé, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Alex Christian, Derrick Etienne, Danley Jean Jacques, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Wilson Isidor, Duckens Nazon, Frantzdy Pierrot. Expected lineup Scotland (4-4-2): Angus Gunn, Aaron Hickey, John Souttar, Grant Hanley, Andrew Robertson, Ben Doak, Scott McTominay, Lewis Ferguson, John McGinn, Lawrence Shankland, Che Adams. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Haiti vs Scotland kick off?

Haiti vs Scotland kicks off on Sunday, 14 June 2026 at 03:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

Who is the referee for Haiti vs Scotland?

The referee for Haiti vs Scotland in the World Cup 2026 is Mustapha Ghorbal.

What are the key factors for Haiti vs Scotland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Haiti vs Scotland: 1. Tactical Mismatch: Scotland's organized 3-4-2-1 structure is designed to dominate the middle third, while Haiti relies on high-velocity transitions through Wilson Isidor and Duckens Nazon. 2. Set-Piece Superiority: Scotland has a significant height and routine advantage in dead-ball situations, which is likely to be the primary method for breaking Haiti's low block. 3. Mental Burden: Scotland returns to the World Cup after 28 years with a 'must-win' pressure, while Haiti, entering as heavy underdogs, faces less psychological weight despite FIFA's recent kit controversy distracting their buildup..

Who are the key players for Haiti vs Scotland?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Haiti vs Scotland. Haiti: Wilson Isidor (Key Threat), Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (In Form). Scotland: Andy Robertson (In Form), Scott McTominay (Doubtful).

What are the Coach AI odds for Haiti vs Scotland?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Haiti vs Scotland: Haiti wins 12%, draw 25%, Scotland wins 63%. The most likely outcome is Scotland with 63%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Haiti vs Scotland?

Bookmakers give Haiti a 17% win probability, 23% draw and Scotland 60% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 19% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 24% draw and 57% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.