Coach AI Odds
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Spain Recent Form — Last 5
Cape Verde Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Spain enters the 2026 World Cup on a 30-match unbeaten run since March 2024, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and a high-possession tactical system (avg. 65%+).
Cape Verde is making its historic World Cup debut; they rely on a disciplined low block and physical transitions but face a massive gulf in quality (FIFA Rank #2 vs #67).
Spain's primary offensive threats, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, are recovering from hamstring injuries; while fit for the bench, they likely won't start, slightly reducing Spain's immediate explosive width.
Injuries & Absentees
Spain is missing Fermín López (foot) and Pablo Barrios. Crucially, superstar Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams are recovering from hamstring issues; they are in the squad but are expected to start on the bench to manage load. For Cape Verde, Logan Costa has successfully returned from a long-term ACL injury to lead the defense.
Key Players
Spain
Cape Verde
Expected Lineups
Expected — may change before kickoff4-3-3
Yamal and Williams available but likely protected as impact subs. Fermín López out.
4-3-3
Logan Costa starts despite recent ACL recovery. Reliance on Mendes for leadership.
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
Play along in the app!
Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.
Start your free league →
Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Coach AI predicts a score of 3-0 with a win probability of 88% for Spain, 8% draw and 4% for Cape Verde.
What is the recent form of Spain and Cape Verde?
Spain form (last 5): no data. Cape Verde form (last 5): no data.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Spain is missing Fermín López (foot) and Pablo Barrios. Crucially, superstar Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams are recovering from hamstring issues; they are in the squad but are expected to start on the bench to manage load. For Cape Verde, Logan Costa has successfully returned from a long-term ACL injury to lead the defense.
What is the most likely correct score for Spain vs Cape Verde?
According to the score probability matrix, 3-0 is the most likely scoreline (18%), followed by 2-0 (16%) and 4-0 (12%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Dominant Spanish Victory (70%): Spain dominates possession and breaks through early, leading to a comfortable multi-goal win against the debutants. — Resilient Cape Verdean Resistance (20%): Cape Verde maintains a rigid low block for over 60 minutes, forcing Spain to rely on bench depth to find a late winner. — Historic Debut Draw (10%): A combination of poor Spanish finishing and a heroic performance by goalkeeper Vozinha results in a goalless stalemate.
What do football fans and other predictors think about Spain vs Cape Verde?
Based on 298 predictors, 98% back a home win for Spain, 1% a draw, and 1% an away win for Cape Verde. The most predicted scoreline is 3-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Spain: fans pick 98% home win, Coach AI calculates 88%.
What is the most popular prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde?
The most predicted scoreline for Spain vs Cape Verde is 3-0. A total of 298 predictors have made their pick — 98% back Spain, 1% a draw and 1% Cape Verde.
How confident are fans about Spain vs Cape Verde?
98% of fans predict a win for Spain, with an average confidence of 74% (high confidence). Notably, the 1% backing a draw are actually more confident (87%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.
What are the current standings for Spain and Cape Verde in the FIFA World Cup?
Spain are 3rd in the FIFA World Cup with 1 points from 1 games. Cape Verde are 4th with 1 points from 1 games.
What are the expected lineups for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Expected lineup Spain (4-3-3): Unai Simón, Marcos Llorente, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Cubarsí, Alejandro Grimaldo, Rodri, Pedri, Fabián Ruiz, Ferran Torres, Mikel Oyarzabal, Dani Olmo. Expected lineup Cape Verde (4-3-3): Vozinha, Steven Moreira, Logan Costa, Roberto Lopes, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Kevin Pina, Jamiro Monteiro, Laros Duarte, Ryan Mendes, Dailon Livramento, Jovane Cabral. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.
What time does Spain vs Cape Verde kick off?
Spain vs Cape Verde kicks off on Monday, 15 June 2026 at 18:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.
Who is the referee for Spain vs Cape Verde?
The referee for Spain vs Cape Verde in the World Cup 2026 is Adham Makhadmeh.
What are the key factors for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Spain vs Cape Verde: 1. Spain enters the 2026 World Cup on a 30-match unbeaten run since March 2024, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and a high-possession tactical system (avg. 65%+). 2. Cape Verde is making its historic World Cup debut; they rely on a disciplined low block and physical transitions but face a massive gulf in quality (FIFA Rank #2 vs #67). 3. Spain's primary offensive threats, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, are recovering from hamstring injuries; while fit for the bench, they likely won't start, slightly reducing Spain's immediate explosive width..
Who are the key players for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Coach AI has identified the following key players for Spain vs Cape Verde. Spain: Rodri (In Form), Mikel Oyarzabal (Key Threat). Cape Verde: Logan Costa (In Form), Vozinha (Key Threat).
What are the Coach AI odds for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Spain vs Cape Verde: Spain wins 88%, draw 8%, Cape Verde wins 4%. The most likely outcome is Spain with 88%.
What are the bookmaker odds for Spain vs Cape Verde?
Bookmakers give Spain a 91% win probability, 7% draw and Cape Verde 2% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 65% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 20% draw and 15% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.