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Sweden vs Tunisia — World Cup 2026 Prediction 15 June 2026

Sweden
Sweden
World Cup 2026
2
VS
1
schedule 15 Jun, 02:00 · Referee: Yael Falcón (Argentina)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 16 Jun 2026

Tunisia
Tunisia
Final result
5 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Sweden vs Tunisia in the World Cup 2026. Sweden is the favourite with a 50% win probability. Tunisia has a 22% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Sweden vs Tunisia

This is the opening match of Group F at Estadio BBVA. Following the 2-2 draw between Netherlands and Japan, the winner of this match takes immediate control of the group. Sweden's 'Potter-ball' emphasizes possession, but they remain most dangerous in quick transitions. Tunisia will likely employ a disciplined 4-3-3 mid-block, looking to frustrate Sweden and exploit the space behind the adventurous Swedish wing-backs.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Swedish Striker Dominance

55%

Isak and Gyökeres prove too mobile for the Tunisian center-backs, leading to a multi-goal victory despite defensive lapses.

Tactical Stalemate in Heat

30%

Tunisia successfully 'sucks the life' out of the game with a deep block, resulting in a low-scoring draw as players fatigue in the Mexican sun.

Tunisian Counter-Punch

15%

Sweden overcommits in Potter's attacking system and is punished by Hannibal Mejbri's vision on the break for a narrow upset.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group F

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Japan 1 0 1 0 0 1
2 Netherlands 1 0 1 0 0 1
4 Tunisia 1 0 0 1 -4 0
Sweden
Tunisia
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Sweden D Tunisia
81%
14%
81% 14% 5%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 27%
1-0 23%
2-1 19%
1-1 11%
3-1 8%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

1-0 16% 2-0 14% 1-1 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 16%
2-0 14%
1-1 12%
Tunisia (Away)
Sweden (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
7.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
16.0%
12.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2
14.0%
11.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
5.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Sweden's lack of clean sheets for 11 games (Signal: defensive instability) combined with Tunisia's recent 5-0 loss to Belgium (Signal: structural collapse against quality) pushes the matrix away from 0-0 toward 1-0 and 2-1 scorelines.

percent

Coach AI Odds

Sweden
50% · 28% · 22%
Tunisia
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.45

Home xG

0.95

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Sweden Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.

Tunisia Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sweden boasts an elite attacking duo in Isak and Gyökeres, but their defense is fragile, having failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 consecutive matches.

trending_up 2

Tunisia is undergoing a tactical reset under Sabri Lamouchi; they were perfect in qualifying (0 goals conceded) but recently collapsed 5-0 against Belgium.

person 3

The match will be played in the intense Monterrey heat under Argentine referee Yael Falcón Pérez, who is known for a high card-per-game average (5.67).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Sweden is missing captain Dejan Kulusevski (knee), a massive creative loss, though Elanga and Nygren provide pace as alternatives. Gabriel Gudmundsson is a doubt (illness). Tunisia arrives with a largely fit squad, but the absence of retired veteran leaders like Naim Sliti has left a void in composure during high-pressure transitions.

star

Key Players

Sweden

Alexander Isak ST
personKey Threat
Viktor Gyökeres ST
personIn Form

Tunisia

Ellyes Skhiri CDM
personKey Threat
Hannibal Mejbri CM
personIn Form
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Sweden Expected

4-2-3-1

person
Nygren LW
person
Gyökeres ST
person
Elanga RW
person
Bergvall CAM
person
Karlström CDM
person
Ayari CM
person
Gudmundsson LB
person
Lindelöf CB
person
Lagerbielke CB
person
Hien RB
person
Nordfeldt GK

Alexander Isak likely to start on the bench or rotate in if fitness allows; Kulusevski is the major confirmed absence.

Tunisia Expected

4-3-3

person
Ltaief LW
person
Khenissi ST
person
Achouri RW
person
Skhiri CDM
person
Khedira CM
person
Mejbri CM
person
Abdi LB
person
Rekik CB
person
Talbi CB
person
Valery RB
person
Dahmen GK

Lamouchi is expected to favor defensive stability with a midfield trio of Skhiri-Khedira-Hannibal.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 50% for Sweden, 28% draw and 22% for Tunisia.

What is the recent form of Sweden and Tunisia?

Sweden form (last 5): no data. Tunisia form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Sweden is missing captain Dejan Kulusevski (knee), a massive creative loss, though Elanga and Nygren provide pace as alternatives. Gabriel Gudmundsson is a doubt (illness). Tunisia arrives with a largely fit squad, but the absence of retired veteran leaders like Naim Sliti has left a void in composure during high-pressure transitions.

What is the most likely correct score for Sweden vs Tunisia?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (16%), followed by 2-0 (14%) and 1-1 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Swedish Striker Dominance (55%): Isak and Gyökeres prove too mobile for the Tunisian center-backs, leading to a multi-goal victory despite defensive lapses. — Tactical Stalemate in Heat (30%): Tunisia successfully 'sucks the life' out of the game with a deep block, resulting in a low-scoring draw as players fatigue in the Mexican sun. — Tunisian Counter-Punch (15%): Sweden overcommits in Potter's attacking system and is punished by Hannibal Mejbri's vision on the break for a narrow upset.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Sweden vs Tunisia?

Based on 278 predictors, 81% back a home win for Sweden, 14% a draw, and 5% an away win for Tunisia. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Sweden: fans pick 81% home win, Coach AI calculates 50%.

What is the most popular prediction for Sweden vs Tunisia?

The most predicted scoreline for Sweden vs Tunisia is 2-0. A total of 278 predictors have made their pick — 81% back Sweden, 14% a draw and 5% Tunisia.

How confident are fans about Sweden vs Tunisia?

81% of fans predict a win for Sweden, with an average confidence of 78% (high confidence).

What are the current standings for Sweden and Tunisia in the FIFA World Cup?

Sweden are 1st in the FIFA World Cup with 3 points from 1 games. Tunisia are 4th with 0 points from 1 games.

What are the expected lineups for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Expected lineup Sweden (4-2-3-1): Kristoffer Nordfeldt, Isak Hien, Victor Lindelöf, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jesper Karlström, Yasin Ayari, Anthony Elanga, Lucas Bergvall, Benjamin Nygren, Viktor Gyökeres. Expected lineup Tunisia (4-3-3): Aymen Dahmen, Yan Valery, Omar Rekik, Montassar Talbi, Ali Abdi, Ellyes Skhiri, Rani Khedira, Hannibal Mejbri, Elias Achouri, Taha Yassine Khenissi, Sayfallah Ltaief. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Sweden vs Tunisia kick off?

Sweden vs Tunisia kicks off on Monday, 15 June 2026 at 04:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

Who is the referee for Sweden vs Tunisia?

The referee for Sweden vs Tunisia in the World Cup 2026 is Yael Falcón.

What are the key factors for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sweden vs Tunisia: 1. Sweden boasts an elite attacking duo in Isak and Gyökeres, but their defense is fragile, having failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 consecutive matches. 2. Tunisia is undergoing a tactical reset under Sabri Lamouchi; they were perfect in qualifying (0 goals conceded) but recently collapsed 5-0 against Belgium. 3. The match will be played in the intense Monterrey heat under Argentine referee Yael Falcón Pérez, who is known for a high card-per-game average (5.67)..

Who are the key players for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Sweden vs Tunisia. Sweden: Alexander Isak (Key Threat), Viktor Gyökeres (In Form). Tunisia: Ellyes Skhiri (Key Threat), Hannibal Mejbri (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Sweden vs Tunisia: Sweden wins 50%, draw 28%, Tunisia wins 22%. The most likely outcome is Sweden with 50%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Bookmakers give Sweden a 50% win probability, 28% draw and Tunisia 22% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 55% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 26% draw and 19% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.