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Leverkusen vs Olympiakos — Champions League Prediction 24 February 2026

Leverkusen
Leverkusen
Champions League
2
VS
1
schedule 24 Feb, 20:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jul 2026

Olympiakos
Olympiakos
Final result
0 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos in the Champions League. Leverkusen is the favourite with a 52% win probability. Olympiakos has a 22% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Leverkusen vs Olympiakos

This is a Round of 16 second-leg tie where Olympiakos must score at least twice to stay alive. Historically, only 2 out of 100+ teams have progressed after losing the first leg at home by two goals. Leverkusen, under Kasper Hjulmand, rotated heavily in their weekend loss to Union Berlin to ensure maximum fitness for this clash. The weather is expected to be typical cold German February conditions, favoring the hosts' high-intensity style.

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analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
15%
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Scenario Explanation

1 scenario. An Olympiakos Away Win (15%) is highly unlikely and would require Leverkusen to suffer from the lack of their starting keeper and Badé, leading to early defensive errors. Given the 2-0 cushion, Leverkusen will likely concede one but outscore a desperate Greek side.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 8 0 0 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 6 0 2 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 5 2 1 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 5 1 2 +7 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 5 1 2 +6 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 5 0 3 +9 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 5 0 3 +8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 4 2 2 +10 14
13 Juventus FC 8 3 4 1 +4 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 4 1 3 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 3 2 3 -4 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 3 1 4 -2 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 2 4 2 -6 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 3 1 4 -8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
26 Paphos FC 8 2 3 3 -3 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 -9 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 0 1 7 -13 1
36 FK Kairat 8 0 1 7 -15 1
Leverkusen
Olympiakos
percent

Coach AI Odds

Leverkusen
52% · 26% · 22%
Olympiakos
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.92

Home xG

1.18

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Leverkusen Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▲
▼
18/2 PAE Olympiakos SFP 0-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 1.67
28/1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-0 Villarreal CF W 2.05
20/1 PAE Olympiakos SFP 2-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 1.28
10/12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-2 Newcastle United FC D
25/11 Manchester City FC 0-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Olympiakos Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▲
18/2 PAE Olympiakos SFP 0-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 1.40
28/1 AFC Ajax 1-2 PAE Olympiakos SFP W 1.38
20/1 PAE Olympiakos SFP 2-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 1.42
9/12 FK Kairat 0-1 PAE Olympiakos SFP W
26/11 PAE Olympiakos SFP 3-4 Real Madrid CF L
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Leverkusen holds a 2-0 aggregate lead and has won their last 4 home European matches without conceding a single goal.

trending_up 2

Olympiakos has a poor historical record on German soil, winning only 1 of their last 11 away matches against German clubs.

person 3

Leverkusen's xG efficiency (1.67 in the first leg) remains high, while Olympiakos failed to convert an xG of 1.40 in the reverse fixture.

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Injuries & Absentees

Leverkusen is facing a defensive reshuffle: starting goalkeeper Mark Flekken (cruciate ligament) and center-back Loïc Badé (hamstring) are confirmed out. Robert Andrich is expected to drop into the back three as cover. Malik Tillman remains a major doubt (ankle), likely forcing veteran Jonas Hofmann into the starting XI. Olympiakos is missing Bakoulas and Angelakis (ACL), but Retsos may return to the defense.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 52% for Leverkusen, 26% draw and 22% for Olympiakos.

What is the recent form of Leverkusen and Olympiakos?

Leverkusen form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Olympiakos form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos?

Leverkusen is facing a defensive reshuffle: starting goalkeeper Mark Flekken (cruciate ligament) and center-back Loïc Badé (hamstring) are confirmed out. Robert Andrich is expected to drop into the back three as cover. Malik Tillman remains a major doubt (ankle), likely forcing veteran Jonas Hofmann into the starting XI. Olympiakos is missing Bakoulas and Angelakis (ACL), but Retsos may return to the defense.

What are the current standings for Leverkusen and Olympiakos in the UEFA Champions League?

Leverkusen are 16th in the UEFA Champions League with 12 points from 8 games. Olympiakos are 18th with 11 points from 8 games.

What time does Leverkusen vs Olympiakos kick off?

Leverkusen vs Olympiakos kicks off on Tuesday, 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos?

The referee for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos in the Champions League is Michael Oliver.

What are the key factors for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos: 1. Leverkusen holds a 2-0 aggregate lead and has won their last 4 home European matches without conceding a single goal. 2. Olympiakos has a poor historical record on German soil, winning only 1 of their last 11 away matches against German clubs. 3. Leverkusen's xG efficiency (1.67 in the first leg) remains high, while Olympiakos failed to convert an xG of 1.40 in the reverse fixture..

What are the Coach AI odds for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Leverkusen vs Olympiakos: Leverkusen wins 52%, draw 26%, Olympiakos wins 22%. The most likely outcome is Leverkusen with 52%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.