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Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Premier League Prediction 18 October 2026

Premier League
1
VS
0
schedule 18 Oct, 14:00 · Referee: Craig Pawson (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Marcus Tavernier sports_soccer Brian Brobbey
Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 0
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT

Goal Scorers

sports_soccer Marcus Tavernier 6'
sports_soccer Evanilson 48'
-
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-0 for Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Bournemouth comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

All matches of matchday 7

Match report: Bournemouth vs Sunderland

Bournemouth beat Sunderland 2-0 in the Premier League (matchday 7) on 18 October 2026. Goals: Marcus Tavernier 6', Bournemouth; Evanilson 48', Bournemouth.

Most pool points in this match: Evanilson (Bournemouth), 1 from 1 goal.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-0: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result2-0
Coach AI1-0right
FansBournemouth win (78%)right
Most likely scoreline1-1 · 15%
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Pre-match preview: Bournemouth vs Sunderland

This is a quintessential 'six-pointer' at the foot of the table. Bournemouth are the only side in the league yet to record a win (0W-3D-3L), while Sunderland sit just one point ahead. Both teams had difficult early schedules—Bournemouth have already faced Man City, Liverpool, and Chelsea—making this their most winnable fixture to date.

#BOUSUN #Bournemouth #Sunderland #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

46%
27%
27%

Cherries Clinch First Win

46%

Bournemouth dominate possession and break through a depleted Sunderland defense late in the game.

Survival Stalemate

27%

Both teams cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw as the fear of defeat outweighs the drive for victory.

Black Cats Counter-Punch

27%

Sunderland absorbs pressure and finds success on the counter-attack through a returning Brian Brobbey.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Bournemouth
Sunderland
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Bournemouth D Sunderland
78%
11%
11%
78% 11% 11%

Most predicted scorelines

3-1 22%
2-1 22%
1-0 22%
1-2 11%
2-0 11%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Bournemouth and Sunderland in Football Meister data

0Bournemouth wins
1draws
1Sunderland wins

Goals: 3 for Bournemouth, 4 for Sunderland.

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Bournemouth at home

1.0

scored

1.3

conceded

3 matches

0
1 of 6 (17%)
1
3 of 6 (50%)
2
2 of 6 (33%)
3+
0 of 6 (0%)

Usually 1. Scores in 83% of matches.

Sunderland away

1.7

scored

2.7

conceded

3 matches

0
2 of 6 (33%)
1
3 of 6 (50%)
2
0 of 6 (0%)
3+
1 of 6 (17%)

Usually 1. Scores in 67% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Bournemouth Sunderland
W D L

Most likely scorelines

1-1 15% 2-1 12% 1-0 10%
grid_on

Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 15%
2-1 12%
1-0 10%
Sunderland (Away)
Bournemouth (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
8.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
1
10.0%
15.0%
9.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2
7.0%
12.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
3.0%
5.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probability is concentrated on the 1-1/2-1 axis because both teams show a recurring pattern of creating >1.4 xG but conceding high-quality chances (xGA > 1.8). The absence of key defenders (Ballard, Araujo) further skews the distribution toward 'Both Teams to Score' outcomes.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.60

Home xG

1.15

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Bournemouth Recent Form: Last 5

0 W · 3 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▲
▼
10/10 Chelsea FC 5-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.45
20/9 AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool FC L 1.40
12/9 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford FC D 1.45
5/9 Newcastle United FC 2-2 AFC Bournemouth D 1.42
29/8 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton FC D 1.65

Sunderland Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▼
10/10 Sunderland AFC 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 1.20
20/9 Manchester City FC 5-3 Sunderland AFC L 0.78
12/9 Sunderland AFC 0-2 Arsenal FC L 0.95
5/9 Brentford FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.08
30/8 Sunderland AFC 1-0 Fulham FC W 1.28
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Both sides enter matchday 7 following morale-boosting Europa League wins, though they remain in the Premier League's bottom three with just one win between them.

trending_up 2

AFC Bournemouth's high-pressing system under Marco Rose faces a tactical test against Sunderland's low-block and counter-attacking setup orchestrated by Régis Le Bris.

person 3

Significant injury boosts for both: Bournemouth welcome back Justin Kluivert and Amine Adli, while Sunderland's top scorer Brian Brobbey is fit to return to the squad.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Bournemouth are without the creative Alex Scott (thigh), which places more creative burden on Tavernier. Sunderland are missing defensive pillar Daniel Ballard and veteran Thomas Meunier, though the return of Reinildo from suspension stabilizes their backline. The return of Brian Brobbey (3 goals) to Sunderland's squad is a massive boost, even if he may not manage a full 90 minutes.

star

Key Players

Bournemouth

Marcus Tavernier FWD
personIn Form
Evanilson FWD
personKey Threat

Sunderland

Brian Brobbey FWD
personReturning
Granit Xhaka CDM
personIn Form
group

Confirmed Lineups

Bournemouth Confirmed

4-1-4-1

16
Tavernier ST
37
Rayan ST
9
Evanilson ST
10
Christie CM
12
Adams CM
4
Cook CM
3
Truffert CB
14
Silva CB
5
Hill CB
15
Smith CB
1
Petrović GK

Bench

20 Michele Di Gregorio 18 Bafodé Diakité 6 Julio Soler 24 Juanlu 19 Justin Kluivert 21 Amine Adli 7 David Brooks 11 Ben Doak 30 Alvaro Rodriguez
Sunderland Confirmed

4-2-3-1

27
Sadiki CM
34
Xhaka CM
11
Rigg CM
28
Fée CM
57
Tuterov CM
17
Reinildo CB
15
Alderete CB
4
Danso CB
20
Mukiele CB
32
Hume CB
22
Roefs GK

Bench

31 Melker Ellborg 6 Dayann Methalie 13 Luke O'Nien 29 Jules Ahoka 19 Habib Diarra 50 Juan Angulo 10 Nilson Angulo 39 Malick Fofana 7 Chemsdine Talbi

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Bournemouth beat Sunderland 2-0 in the Premier League (matchday 7) on 18 October 2026. Goals: Marcus Tavernier 6', Bournemouth; Evanilson 48', Bournemouth.

Did Coach AI predict Bournemouth vs Sunderland correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-0: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Bournemouth win (78%), which was right.

Who earned the most pool points in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Most pool points in this match: Evanilson (Bournemouth), 1 from 1 goal.

What is the correct score prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts 1-0 as the correct score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Bournemouth form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L. Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Bournemouth are without the creative Alex Scott (thigh), which places more creative burden on Tavernier. Sunderland are missing defensive pillar Daniel Ballard and veteran Thomas Meunier, though the return of Reinildo from suspension stabilizes their backline. The return of Brian Brobbey (3 goals) to Sunderland's squad is a massive boost, even if he may not manage a full 90 minutes.

How many goals do Bournemouth and Sunderland score on average?

Bournemouth score at home 1.0 goals on average and concede 1.3 (3 matches). Sunderland score away 1.7 goals on average and concede 2.7 (3 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Bournemouth and Sunderland: Bournemouth won 0, Sunderland won 1 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 3-4.

What was the last result between Bournemouth and Sunderland?

The last meeting was on 28 Feb 2026: Bournemouth - Sunderland 1-1. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

What is the most likely correct score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 2-1 (12%) and 1-0 (10%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Cherries Clinch First Win (46%): Bournemouth dominate possession and break through a depleted Sunderland defense late in the game.; Survival Stalemate (27%): Both teams cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw as the fear of defeat outweighs the drive for victory.; Black Cats Counter-Punch (27%): Sunderland absorbs pressure and finds success on the counter-attack through a returning Brian Brobbey.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Among Football Meister players, 78% back a home win for Bournemouth, 11% a draw, and 11% an away win for Sunderland. The most predicted scoreline is 3-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Bournemouth: fans pick 78% home win, Coach AI calculates 47%.

What is the most popular prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

The most predicted scoreline for Bournemouth vs Sunderland is 3-1. Of all Football Meister players, 78% back Bournemouth, 11% a draw and 11% Sunderland.

How confident are fans about Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

78% of fans predict a win for Bournemouth, with an average confidence of 59% (moderate confidence). Despite 78% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (59%), a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

Who do fans pick as the likely scorer in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

22% of Football Meister players expect Granit Xhaka to score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland.

What are the current standings for Bournemouth and Sunderland in the Premier League?

Bournemouth are 15th in the Premier League with 6 points from 7 games. Sunderland are 19th with 4 points from 7 games.

What is the confirmed lineup for Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Confirmed lineup Bournemouth (4-1-4-1): Đorđe Petrović, Adrien Truffert, Antonio Silva, James Hill, Adam Smith, Ryan Christie, Tyler Adams, Lewis Cook, Marcus Tavernier, Rayan, Evanilson. Confirmed lineup Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs, Reinildo, Omar Alderete, Kevin Danso, Nordi Mukiele, Trai Hume, Noah Sadiki, Granit Xhaka, Chris Rigg, Enzo Le Fée, Timur Tuterov. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Who scored the goals in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Goal scorers in Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Marcus Tavernier 6', Bournemouth, Evanilson 48', Bournemouth. Final score: Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland.

What time does Bournemouth vs Sunderland kick off?

Bournemouth vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

The referee for Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Craig Pawson.

What are the key factors for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Bournemouth vs Sunderland: 1. Both sides enter matchday 7 following morale-boosting Europa League wins, though they remain in the Premier League's bottom three with just one win between them. 2. AFC Bournemouth's high-pressing system under Marco Rose faces a tactical test against Sunderland's low-block and counter-attacking setup orchestrated by Régis Le Bris. 3. Significant injury boosts for both: Bournemouth welcome back Justin Kluivert and Amine Adli, while Sunderland's top scorer Brian Brobbey is fit to return to the squad..

Who are the key players for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Bournemouth vs Sunderland. Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (In Form), Evanilson (Key Threat). Sunderland: Brian Brobbey (Returning), Granit Xhaka (In Form).

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI sees Bournemouth as the stronger side in Bournemouth vs Sunderland. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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