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Burnley vs Wolverhampton — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Andrew Kitchen (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 21 May 2026

Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
Kickoff in —

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Burnley vs Wolverhampton in the Premier League. Burnley is the favourite with a 38% win probability. Wolverhampton has a 35% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Burnley vs Wolverhampton

This is a 'dead rubber' in terms of survival but carries emotional weight as the final Premier League game for both sides before dropping to the Championship. Turf Moor is expected to be overcast with light rain showers (19°C), conditions that typically favor Burnley's physical style. Referee Stuart Attwell, the most card-prone official this season, may find his hands full if the 'basement battle' turns aggressive.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%

Basement Battle Stalemate

45%

A low-intensity draw where both teams struggle to create clear-cut chances, leaving the standings unchanged.

Clarets Final Hurrah

35%

Burnley uses home advantage and set-piece superiority to edge a win, sending the fans home with a small consolation.

Wolves Counter Strike

20%

Wolves exploit Burnley's high defensive line on the counter-attack to snatch an away win, though likely not by enough to overtake them in the table.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 37 9 11 17 -10 38
18 West Ham United FC 37 9 9 19 -22 36
19 Burnley FC 37 4 9 24 -37 21
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 37 3 10 24 -41 19
Burnley
Wolverhampton

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.12

Home xG

1.24

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Burnley Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 4 L
▼
▲
▼
18/5 Arsenal FC 1-0 Burnley FC L 0.55
10/5 Burnley FC 2-2 Aston Villa FC D 0.85
1/5 Leeds United FC 3-1 Burnley FC L 0.92
22/4 Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC L 0.74
19/4 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC L 0.94

Wolverhampton Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▼
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.00
9/5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L 0.75
2/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.05
25/4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.08
18/4 Leeds United FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L 0.88
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Battle for 19th: With both teams mathematically relegated, the primary motivation is avoiding the bottom spot. Burnley holds a 2-point lead and a significantly better Goal Difference (-37 vs -41).

trending_up 2

Extreme Goal Drought: Wolves are the league's lowest scorers with just 26 goals in 37 games (0.70/match). Their xG consistently suggests they should score more, but conversion remains at a league-low efficiency.

person 3

Burnley Home Form: The Clarets are unbeaten in their last 4 home H2H matches against Wolves and will look to Zian Flemming (10 goals) and James Ward-Prowse's set-pieces to secure a result for the home fans.

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Injuries & Absentees

Burnley is missing the vital midfield presence of Josh Cullen and defender Jordan Beyer, forcing a reliance on Ugochukwu and the veteran Kyle Walker. Wolves are without goalkeeper Sam Johnstone, meaning Jose Sa remains under pressure behind a defense that has conceded 67 goals.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 38% for Burnley, 27% draw and 35% for Wolverhampton.

What is the recent form of Burnley and Wolverhampton?

Burnley form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. Wolverhampton form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Burnley is missing the vital midfield presence of Josh Cullen and defender Jordan Beyer, forcing a reliance on Ugochukwu and the veteran Kyle Walker. Wolves are without goalkeeper Sam Johnstone, meaning Jose Sa remains under pressure behind a defense that has conceded 67 goals.

What are the possible match scenarios for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Basement Battle Stalemate (45%): A low-intensity draw where both teams struggle to create clear-cut chances, leaving the standings unchanged. — Clarets Final Hurrah (35%): Burnley uses home advantage and set-piece superiority to edge a win, sending the fans home with a small consolation. — Wolves Counter Strike (20%): Wolves exploit Burnley's high defensive line on the counter-attack to snatch an away win, though likely not by enough to overtake them in the table.

What are the current standings for Burnley and Wolverhampton in the Premier League?

Burnley are 19th in the Premier League with 21 points from 37 games. Wolverhampton are 20th with 19 points from 37 games.

What time does Burnley vs Wolverhampton kick off?

Burnley vs Wolverhampton kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

The referee for Burnley vs Wolverhampton in the Premier League is Andrew Kitchen.

What are the key factors for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Burnley vs Wolverhampton: 1. Battle for 19th: With both teams mathematically relegated, the primary motivation is avoiding the bottom spot. Burnley holds a 2-point lead and a significantly better Goal Difference (-37 vs -41). 2. Extreme Goal Drought: Wolves are the league's lowest scorers with just 26 goals in 37 games (0.70/match). Their xG consistently suggests they should score more, but conversion remains at a league-low efficiency. 3. Burnley Home Form: The Clarets are unbeaten in their last 4 home H2H matches against Wolves and will look to Zian Flemming (10 goals) and James Ward-Prowse's set-pieces to secure a result for the home fans..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.