Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Fulham Recent Form — Last 5
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Efficiency Gap: Newcastle has consistently overperformed their xG in May (6 goals from ~3.1 xG in recent wins), whereas Fulham has struggled with a conversion rate below 1.0 per game in their last five.
Defensive Crisis: Fulham is missing their defensive spine with Joachim Andersen (suspension) and Antonee Robinson (injury) both out, forcing Marco Silva into a makeshift backline against a clinical Newcastle attack.
Head-to-Head Dominance: Newcastle won the reverse fixture 2-1 and has a historically strong record at Craven Cottage, winning there in several recent campaigns.
Final Day Context: Both teams are level on 49 points. While European spots are out of reach, Newcastle's superior goal-scoring rhythm (8 goals in last 3 outings) gives them the technical edge.
Injuries & Absentees
Fulham is severely hampered by the absence of Joachim Andersen (suspended) and Antonee Robinson (thigh), arguably their two most consistent defenders. The loss of Rodrigo Muniz also limits their physical presence upfront. Newcastle is missing Joelinton, Fabian Schär, and potentially Sandro Tonali, but their depth in midfield with Bruno Guimarães and the emergence of Nick Woltemade (8 goals) provides more reliable alternatives.
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 33% for Fulham, 25% draw and 42% for Newcastle.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Newcastle?
Fulham form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Newcastle form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham is severely hampered by the absence of Joachim Andersen (suspended) and Antonee Robinson (thigh), arguably their two most consistent defenders. The loss of Rodrigo Muniz also limits their physical presence upfront. Newcastle is missing Joelinton, Fabian Schär, and potentially Sandro Tonali, but their depth in midfield with Bruno Guimarães and the emergence of Nick Woltemade (8 goals) provides more reliable alternatives.
What are the possible match scenarios for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Clinical Magpies Edge (45%): Newcastle exploits Fulham's makeshift defense through quick transitions, securing a narrow away victory. — Final Day Draw (35%): Both teams lack defensive urgency on the final day, resulting in a balanced scoreline where both sides settle for a point. — Cottage Pride Performance (20%): Fulham overcomes their defensive injuries through a high-possession game, frustrating Newcastle and poaching a home win.
What are the current standings for Fulham and Newcastle in the Premier League?
Fulham are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 37 games. Newcastle are 11th with 49 points from 37 games.
What time does Fulham vs Newcastle kick off?
Fulham vs Newcastle kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Fulham vs Newcastle?
The referee for Fulham vs Newcastle in the Premier League is Robert Jones.
What are the key factors for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Newcastle: 1. Efficiency Gap: Newcastle has consistently overperformed their xG in May (6 goals from ~3.1 xG in recent wins), whereas Fulham has struggled with a conversion rate below 1.0 per game in their last five. 2. Defensive Crisis: Fulham is missing their defensive spine with Joachim Andersen (suspension) and Antonee Robinson (injury) both out, forcing Marco Silva into a makeshift backline against a clinical Newcastle attack. 3. Head-to-Head Dominance: Newcastle won the reverse fixture 2-1 and has a historically strong record at Craven Cottage, winning there in several recent campaigns. 4. Final Day Context: Both teams are level on 49 points. While European spots are out of reach, Newcastle's superior goal-scoring rhythm (8 goals in last 3 outings) gives them the technical edge..
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.