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Liverpool vs Brentford — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Liverpool
Liverpool
Premier League
3
VS
1
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Darren England (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 21 May 2026

Brentford
Brentford
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 for Liverpool vs Brentford in the Premier League. Liverpool is the favourite with a 60% win probability. Brentford has a 20% chance of winning and 20% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Liverpool vs Brentford

This is a Matchweek 38 'final stand.' Liverpool is desperate to end a poor run (1 point from the last 9) to secure 4th. Brentford sits 9th and is safe, but could climb to 7th for a Conference League spot. Weather is predicted to be damp (86% rain chance) with mild temperatures, which typically favors Liverpool's fast-paced 'wet pitch' passing game. Referee Darren England is officiating; he has a history of letting play flow, which may assist Brentford's physical defensive style.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

The Emotional Send-off

55%

Liverpool dominates possession and converts their high xG creation into early goals to celebrate departing legends.

The Top-Four Nerve Test

30%

Liverpool struggles with defensive transitions, allowing Brentford to stay in the game until a late winner settles it.

Brentford Set-Piece Masterclass

15%

Brentford exploits Liverpool's recent aerial vulnerabilities and lack of Alisson to secure a shock result.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
3 Manchester United FC 37 19 11 7 +16 68
4 Aston Villa FC 37 18 8 11 +6 62
5 Liverpool FC 37 17 8 12 +10 59
6 AFC Bournemouth 37 13 17 7 +4 56
7 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 37 14 11 12 +9 53
8 Chelsea FC 37 14 10 13 +7 52
9 Brentford FC 37 14 10 13 +3 52
10 Sunderland AFC 37 13 12 12 -7 51
11 Newcastle United FC 37 14 7 16 0 49
Liverpool
Brentford

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.10

Home xG

1.50

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
15/5 Aston Villa FC 4-2 Liverpool FC L 1.89
9/5 Liverpool FC 1-1 Chelsea FC D 2.15
3/5 Manchester United FC 3-2 Liverpool FC L 1.88
25/4 Liverpool FC 3-1 Crystal Palace FC W 2.08
19/4 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC W 1.68

Brentford Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
17/5 Brentford FC 2-2 Crystal Palace FC D 1.78
9/5 Manchester City FC 3-0 Brentford FC L 1.08
2/5 Brentford FC 3-0 West Ham United FC W 1.58
27/4 Manchester United FC 2-1 Brentford FC L 1.45
18/4 Brentford FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.65
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

High-Stakes Motivation: Liverpool can still mathematically snatch 4th place (Champions League) from Aston Villa if they win and Villa loses, thanks to a superior Goal Difference (+10 vs +6).

trending_up 2

Anfield Emotional Surge: This match is likely the final home game for stalwarts Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson, creating a high-intensity, emotional atmosphere that traditionally fuels Liverpool's performance.

person 3

Defensive Vulnerability vs. Counter-Threat: While Liverpool averages ~2.0 xG, they have conceded 9 goals in their last 3 games. Brentford’s transition game and set-piece efficiency (3-2 winners in the reverse fixture) will exploit Liverpool's high line.

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Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool is facing a late fitness test for star striker Alexander Isak and wing-back Jeremie Frimpong (both muscle knocks). Alisson Becker remains a doubt with a hamstring issue, though Mamardashvili is a capable deputy. Brentford is missing key creative outlets Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo (both ACL), which significantly reduces their midfield rotation options.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 with a win probability of 60% for Liverpool, 20% draw and 20% for Brentford.

What is the recent form of Liverpool and Brentford?

Liverpool form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Brentford form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool is facing a late fitness test for star striker Alexander Isak and wing-back Jeremie Frimpong (both muscle knocks). Alisson Becker remains a doubt with a hamstring issue, though Mamardashvili is a capable deputy. Brentford is missing key creative outlets Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo (both ACL), which significantly reduces their midfield rotation options.

What are the possible match scenarios for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The Emotional Send-off (55%): Liverpool dominates possession and converts their high xG creation into early goals to celebrate departing legends. — The Top-Four Nerve Test (30%): Liverpool struggles with defensive transitions, allowing Brentford to stay in the game until a late winner settles it. — Brentford Set-Piece Masterclass (15%): Brentford exploits Liverpool's recent aerial vulnerabilities and lack of Alisson to secure a shock result.

What are the current standings for Liverpool and Brentford in the Premier League?

Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League with 59 points from 37 games. Brentford are 9th with 52 points from 37 games.

What time does Liverpool vs Brentford kick off?

Liverpool vs Brentford kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The referee for Liverpool vs Brentford in the Premier League is Darren England.

What are the key factors for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Liverpool vs Brentford: 1. High-Stakes Motivation: Liverpool can still mathematically snatch 4th place (Champions League) from Aston Villa if they win and Villa loses, thanks to a superior Goal Difference (+10 vs +6). 2. Anfield Emotional Surge: This match is likely the final home game for stalwarts Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson, creating a high-intensity, emotional atmosphere that traditionally fuels Liverpool's performance. 3. Defensive Vulnerability vs. Counter-Threat: While Liverpool averages ~2.0 xG, they have conceded 9 goals in their last 3 games. Brentford’s transition game and set-piece efficiency (3-2 winners in the reverse fixture) will exploit Liverpool's high line..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.