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Everton vs Man United — Premier League Prediction 23 February 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 23 Feb, 20:00 · Referee: Darren England (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Man United
Man United
Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Everton vs Man United in the Premier League. Man United is the favourite with a 49% win probability. Everton has a 26% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Everton vs Man United

This Monday Night Football clash sees Michael Carrick's Manchester United looking to cement a Top 4 spot after an unbeaten run of five games (including wins vs City and Arsenal). For Everton, it's a test of whether David Moyes' low-block system can neutralize a United side that has failed to keep an away clean sheet in 13 matches but consistently outscores opponents.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: United's individual quality (Fernandes and Mbeumo) breaks a stubborn Everton block in the second half (65% likelihood). Scenario 2: Everton capitalizes on United's poor away defensive record via a set-piece to salvage a 1-1 draw (25% likelihood). Scenario 3: Everton replicates their 1-0 win from earlier in the season by frustrating United into a tactical stalemate (10% likelihood). Given United's current momentum and xG overperformance, a 2-1 away win is the most statistically sound outcome.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hull City AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Ipswich Town FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Leeds United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Liverpool FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Newcastle United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nottingham Forest FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Sunderland AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
Everton
Man United
percent

Coach AI Odds

Everton
26% · 25% · 49%
Man United
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.23

Home xG

1.72

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
▲
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC W 1.16
31/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Everton FC D 1.15
26/1 Everton FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.42
18/1 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Everton FC W 1.25

Man United Recent Form — Last 5

4 W · 1 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▲
10/2 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester United FC D 1.75
7/2 Manchester United FC 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.72
1/2 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC W 1.85
25/1 Arsenal FC 2-3 Manchester United FC W 1.55
17/1 Manchester United FC 2-0 Manchester City FC W 1.58
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Manchester United's superior offensive efficiency: Carrick’s side maintains a high average xG of 1.69, significantly outperforming Everton's 1.27.

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Everton's defensive structural issues: The suspension of Jake O'Brien and long-term injury to Jack Grealish severely limits Everton's height in the box and creative transition play.

person 3

Home disadvantage: Despite the 'new stadium' honeymoon, Everton have struggled at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, failing to win in their last six home outings.

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton is without the suspended Jake O'Brien (red card vs Bournemouth) and Jack Grealish (out for the season). This forces David Moyes to rely on a veteran backline that may struggle with United's transition pace. Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt and Patrick Dorgu, but Harry Maguire’s return to form has stabilized their defense.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Man United?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 26% for Everton, 25% draw and 49% for Man United.

What is the recent form of Everton and Man United?

Everton form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Man United form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Man United?

Everton is without the suspended Jake O'Brien (red card vs Bournemouth) and Jack Grealish (out for the season). This forces David Moyes to rely on a veteran backline that may struggle with United's transition pace. Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt and Patrick Dorgu, but Harry Maguire’s return to form has stabilized their defense.

What are the current standings for Everton and Man United in the Premier League?

Everton are 1st in the Premier League with 0 points from 0 games. Man United are 1st with 0 points from 0 games.

What time does Everton vs Man United kick off?

Everton vs Man United kicks off on Monday, 23 February 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Man United?

The referee for Everton vs Man United in the Premier League is Darren England.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Man United?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Man United: 1. Manchester United's superior offensive efficiency: Carrick’s side maintains a high average xG of 1.69, significantly outperforming Everton's 1.27. 2. Everton's defensive structural issues: The suspension of Jake O'Brien and long-term injury to Jack Grealish severely limits Everton's height in the box and creative transition play. 3. Home disadvantage: Despite the 'new stadium' honeymoon, Everton have struggled at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, failing to win in their last six home outings..

What are the Coach AI odds for Everton vs Man United?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Everton vs Man United: Everton wins 26%, draw 25%, Man United wins 49%. The most likely outcome is Man United with 49%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.