Coach AI pre-match analysis
Coach AI Scenarios
Most likely scorelines
Correct Score Prediction
AI-calculated probability per scoreline
The absence of Branthwaite (EVE) and Ballard (SUN) removes the defensive stabilizers for both sides, while the emotional context of Coleman's farewell and final home game at a new stadium pushes the model away from conservative 0-0/1-0 scores toward high-scoring volatility (2-2, 3-2, 3-1).
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset risk
Risk of unexpected result
Everton Recent Form: Last 5
Sunderland Recent Form: Last 5
Key Factors
Emotional Farewell: This marks Seamus Coleman's final home game for Everton after 17 years, providing a massive psychological boost for the home side.
Defensive Absences: Both teams are missing their best center-backs; Everton is without Jarrad Branthwaite (hamstring) and Sunderland is missing Dan Ballard (suspension).
Conversion Efficiency: Everton has been significantly overperforming their xG (e.g., scoring 3 goals from 1.05 xG vs Man City), while Sunderland has been 'shot-shy' and wasteful in front of goal.
Tactical Stalemate: Both previous meetings this season (Premier League and FA Cup) ended in 1-1 draws, highlighting how closely matched these mid-table sides are.
Injuries & Absentees
Everton is severely handicapped defensively and in transition with Jarrad Branthwaite, Idrissa Gana Gueye, and Jack Grealish all ruled out. Michael Keane and Jake O'Brien must step up. Sunderland is missing defensive anchor Dan Ballard through suspension and winger Romaine Mundle due to injury, though Bertrand Traore may return to the bench.
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What was the result of Everton vs Sunderland?
Sunderland beat Everton 3-1 in the Premier League (matchday 37) on 17 May 2026.
Did Coach AI predict Everton vs Sunderland correctly?
Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Everton win (67%), which was not right.
What is the correct score prediction for Everton vs Sunderland?
Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Everton vs Sunderland. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.
What is the recent form of Everton and Sunderland?
Everton form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L. Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Sunderland?
Everton is severely handicapped defensively and in transition with Jarrad Branthwaite, Idrissa Gana Gueye, and Jack Grealish all ruled out. Michael Keane and Jake O'Brien must step up. Sunderland is missing defensive anchor Dan Ballard through suspension and winger Romaine Mundle due to injury, though Bertrand Traore may return to the bench.
How many goals do Everton and Sunderland score on average?
Everton score at home 1.4 goals on average and concede 1.3 (18 matches). Sunderland score away 0.8 goals on average and concede 1.5 (18 matches).
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Sunderland?
Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Everton and Sunderland: Everton won 0, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-1.
What was the last result between Everton and Sunderland?
The last meeting was on 3 Nov 2025: Sunderland - Everton 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Everton vs Sunderland?
According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), followed by 1-1 (11%) and 2-2 (9%).
What do football fans and other predictors think about Everton vs Sunderland?
Among Football Meister players, 67% back a home win for Everton, 0% a draw, and 33% an away win for Sunderland. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Everton: fans pick 67% home win, Coach AI calculates 44%.
What is the most popular prediction for Everton vs Sunderland?
The most predicted scoreline for Everton vs Sunderland is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 67% back Everton, 0% a draw and 33% Sunderland.
What are the current standings for Everton and Sunderland in the Premier League?
Everton are 8th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Sunderland are 19th with 4 points from 7 games.
What time does Everton vs Sunderland kick off?
Everton vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Everton vs Sunderland?
The referee for Everton vs Sunderland in the Premier League is John Brooks.
What are the key factors for Everton vs Sunderland?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Sunderland: 1. Emotional Farewell: This marks Seamus Coleman's final home game for Everton after 17 years, providing a massive psychological boost for the home side. 2. Defensive Absences: Both teams are missing their best center-backs; Everton is without Jarrad Branthwaite (hamstring) and Sunderland is missing Dan Ballard (suspension). 3. Conversion Efficiency: Everton has been significantly overperforming their xG (e.g., scoring 3 goals from 1.05 xG vs Man City), while Sunderland has been 'shot-shy' and wasteful in front of goal. 4. Tactical Stalemate: Both previous meetings this season (Premier League and FA Cup) ended in 1-1 draws, highlighting how closely matched these mid-table sides are..
Which scenario does Coach AI see for Everton vs Sunderland?
Coach AI sees Everton as the stronger side in Everton vs Sunderland. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.