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Newcastle vs Brentford: Premier League Prediction 7 February 2026

Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 07 Feb, 17:30 · Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
2 – 3
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Newcastle vs Brentford in the Premier League. Newcastle comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Newcastle vs Brentford

Brentford beat Newcastle 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 25) on 7 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right.

Result2-3
Coach AI1-1not right
FansNewcastle win (67%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Newcastle vs Brentford

St. James' Park will be cold (8°C) with a 40% chance of rain and high wind gusts, conditions that typically favor Brentford's direct, physical style over Newcastle’s intricate wing play. Psychologically, Newcastle may suffer a 'hangover' after their midweek cup exit, whereas Brentford is buoyed by a rare away win at Villa Park.

#NEWBRE #Newcastle #Brentford #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
38%
32%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 threat. Brentford will focus on exploiting the space behind Trippier, likely resulting in a goal from a set-piece or a quick break. The Value Tip: The market heavily favors Newcastle based on historical home form, but the combination of their injury list and midweek fatigue makes 'Brentford +0.5' or the 'Draw' the smarter play. Probability Estimates: Home Win 38%, Draw 32%, Away Win 30%.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Newcastle
Brentford
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Newcastle D Brentford
67%
17%
17%
67% 17% 17%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 33%
0-0 17%
1-0 17%
1-2 17%
2-1 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Newcastle and Brentford in Football Meister data

0Newcastle wins
0draws
1Brentford wins

Goals: 1 for Newcastle, 3 for Brentford.

Previous meetings

  • 9 Nov 2025Brentford3Newcastle1

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Newcastle at home

1.8

scored

1.4

conceded

12 matches

0
7 of 24 (29%)
1
6 of 24 (25%)
2
8 of 24 (33%)
3+
3 of 24 (13%)

Usually 2. Scores in 71% of matches.

Brentford away

1.1

scored

1.7

conceded

12 matches

0
7 of 24 (29%)
1
7 of 24 (29%)
2
3 of 24 (13%)
3+
7 of 24 (29%)

Usually 0 or 1 or 3+. Scores in 71% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Newcastle Brentford
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.82

Home xG

1.45

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Newcastle Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▼
31/1 Liverpool FC 4-1 Newcastle United FC L 1.18
28/1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1-1 Newcastle United FC D 1.35
25/1 Newcastle United FC 0-2 Aston Villa FC L 1.91
21/1 Newcastle United FC 3-0 PSV W 1.94
18/1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-0 Newcastle United FC D 1.60

Brentford Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
▼
▼
1/2 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Brentford FC W 1.25
25/1 Brentford FC 0-2 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.88
17/1 Chelsea FC 2-0 Brentford FC L 1.45
7/1 Brentford FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC W
4/1 Everton FC 2-4 Brentford FC W
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Efficiency Regression: Newcastle has significantly underperformed their xG in recent home fixtures (e.g., 1.91 xG vs Aston Villa with 0 goals), indicating a lack of clinical finishing that is likely to persist without Anthony Gordon.

trending_up 2

Tactical Stalemate: Brentford's high-efficiency xG/shot (0.15) and recent victory at Villa Park demonstrate their ability to punish teams on the counter, a major threat to a Newcastle side missing the recovery pace of Livramento.

person 3

Fatigue & Schedule: Newcastle is entering this match following a grueling Carabao Cup semi-final second leg against Manchester City just three days prior, creating a significant physical disadvantage against a rested Brentford side.

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Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle faces a systemic crisis with Anthony Gordon (hamstring) and Fabian Schär (ankle) sidelined; Gordon is their primary outlet for transition, while Schär's long-range distribution is irreplaceable for breaking low blocks. Brentford is missing Kevin Schade (suspension) and Fabio Carvalho, but their core midfield (Jensen, Janelt, Henderson) remains intact, providing the stability needed for an away result.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Newcastle vs Brentford?

Brentford beat Newcastle 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 25) on 7 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Newcastle vs Brentford correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Newcastle win (67%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Newcastle vs Brentford?

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Newcastle vs Brentford. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Newcastle and Brentford?

Newcastle form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Brentford form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Brentford?

Newcastle faces a systemic crisis with Anthony Gordon (hamstring) and Fabian Schär (ankle) sidelined; Gordon is their primary outlet for transition, while Schär's long-range distribution is irreplaceable for breaking low blocks. Brentford is missing Kevin Schade (suspension) and Fabio Carvalho, but their core midfield (Jensen, Janelt, Henderson) remains intact, providing the stability needed for an away result.

How many goals do Newcastle and Brentford score on average?

Newcastle score at home 1.8 goals on average and concede 1.4 (12 matches). Brentford score away 1.1 goals on average and concede 1.7 (12 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Brentford?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Newcastle and Brentford: Newcastle won 0, Brentford won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-3.

What was the last result between Newcastle and Brentford?

The last meeting was on 9 Nov 2025: Brentford - Newcastle 3-1.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Newcastle vs Brentford?

Among Football Meister players, 67% back a home win for Newcastle, 17% a draw, and 17% an away win for Brentford. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Newcastle: fans pick 67% home win, Coach AI calculates 44%.

What is the most popular prediction for Newcastle vs Brentford?

The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Brentford is 2-0. Of all Football Meister players, 67% back Newcastle, 17% a draw and 17% Brentford.

What are the current standings for Newcastle and Brentford in the Premier League?

Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 8 points from 7 games. Brentford are 6th with 10 points from 7 games.

What time does Newcastle vs Brentford kick off?

Newcastle vs Brentford kicks off on Saturday, 7 February 2026 at 17:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Brentford?

The referee for Newcastle vs Brentford in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Brentford?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Brentford: 1. Efficiency Regression: Newcastle has significantly underperformed their xG in recent home fixtures (e.g., 1.91 xG vs Aston Villa with 0 goals), indicating a lack of clinical finishing that is likely to persist without Anthony Gordon. 2. Tactical Stalemate: Brentford's high-efficiency xG/shot (0.15) and recent victory at Villa Park demonstrate their ability to punish teams on the counter, a major threat to a Newcastle side missing the recovery pace of Livramento. 3. Fatigue & Schedule: Newcastle is entering this match following a grueling Carabao Cup semi-final second leg against Manchester City just three days prior, creating a significant physical disadvantage against a rested Brentford side..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Newcastle vs Brentford?

Coach AI sees Newcastle as the stronger side in Newcastle vs Brentford. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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