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Sunderland vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 17 January 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Premier League
1
VS
0
schedule 17 Jan, 15:00 · Referee: Robert Jones (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Final result
2 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 0
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-0 for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Sunderland is the favourite with a 36% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 34% chance of winning and 30% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Sunderland vs Crystal Palace

This is a mid-table clash between 10th-placed Sunderland and 13th-placed Crystal Palace. Sunderland is looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at Brentford but remains a fortress at home. Conversely, Crystal Palace is reeling from a shock FA Cup exit to non-league Macclesfield FC and hasn't won a league game in 2026.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

While Sunderland has struggled for goals recently, their home form is exceptionally resilient. Palace's morale is at a seasonal low following the 'double blow' of manager Oliver Glasner's announced departure and the loss of their defensive anchor, Guéhi. A low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome given Palace's lack of attacking rhythm and Sunderland's discipline under Régis Le Bris.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hull City AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Ipswich Town FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Leeds United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Liverpool FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Newcastle United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nottingham Forest FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Sunderland AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
percent

Coach AI Odds

Sunderland
36% · 30% · 34%
Crystal Palace
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.15

Home xG

1.28

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sunderland's unbeaten home record at the Stadium of Light (W5 D5 in 10 matches).

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Crystal Palace's poor form, failing to win any of their last six matches across all competitions.

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Major squad disruption for Crystal Palace, including the imminent exit of captain Marc Guéhi and 10 players sidelined.

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Sunderland's defensive solidity at home, recently holding Manchester City to a 0-0 draw.

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Injuries & Absentees

Sunderland will be without Arthur Masuaku, Bertrand Traoré, and Aji Alese, while Habib Diarra and Chemsdine Talbi are away at AFCON. Crystal Palace face a crisis with Daniel Muñoz, Cheick Doucouré, Eddie Nketiah, and Daichi Kamada out injured, alongside Ismaila Sarr (AFCON) and Marc Guéhi (transfer exit).

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Previous match

Man United
Man United

vs

Man City
Man City

17 Jan · 13:30

Next match

Chelsea
Chelsea

vs

Brentford
Brentford

17 Jan · 16:00

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-0 with a win probability of 36% for Sunderland, 30% draw and 34% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Sunderland and Crystal Palace?

Sunderland form (last 5): no data. Crystal Palace form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Sunderland will be without Arthur Masuaku, Bertrand Traoré, and Aji Alese, while Habib Diarra and Chemsdine Talbi are away at AFCON. Crystal Palace face a crisis with Daniel Muñoz, Cheick Doucouré, Eddie Nketiah, and Daichi Kamada out injured, alongside Ismaila Sarr (AFCON) and Marc Guéhi (transfer exit).

What are the current standings for Sunderland and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Sunderland are 1st in the Premier League with 0 points from 0 games. Crystal Palace are 1st with 0 points from 0 games.

What time does Sunderland vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday, 17 January 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

The referee for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is Robert Jones.

What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace: 1. Sunderland's unbeaten home record at the Stadium of Light (W5 D5 in 10 matches). 2. Crystal Palace's poor form, failing to win any of their last six matches across all competitions. 3. Major squad disruption for Crystal Palace, including the imminent exit of captain Marc Guéhi and 10 players sidelined. 4. Sunderland's defensive solidity at home, recently holding Manchester City to a 0-0 draw..

What are the Coach AI odds for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace: Sunderland wins 36%, draw 30%, Crystal Palace wins 34%. The most likely outcome is Sunderland with 36%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.