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West Ham vs Leeds United — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

West Ham
West Ham
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Anthony Taylor (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 21 May 2026

Leeds United
Leeds United
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for West Ham vs Leeds United in the Premier League. West Ham is the favourite with a 52% win probability. Leeds United has a 23% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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West Ham vs Leeds United

This is a 'must-win' for West Ham to avoid relegation, while Leeds are mathematically safe and playing for a top-half finish (targeting 50 points). The match will be played in unusually warm conditions (27°C), which may favor Leeds' superior physical conditioning and recent momentum. Referee Anthony Taylor is known for letting play flow, which benefits Leeds' transition speed.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
30%
25%

Leeds Counter-Attack Exploitation

45%

West Ham commits too many bodies forward out of desperation, allowing Leeds to win 2-1 or 2-0 via clinical transitions.

Nervy High-Stakes Draw

30%

A high-tension match where West Ham cancels out a Leeds lead but fails to find the winning goal needed for safety.

West Ham Survival Stand

25%

Fueled by the London Stadium crowd and individual brilliance from Jarrod Bowen, West Ham secures a narrow 1-0 victory.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
12 Everton FC 37 13 10 14 -2 49
13 Fulham FC 37 14 7 16 -6 49
14 Leeds United FC 37 11 14 12 -4 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 37 11 12 14 -9 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 37 11 10 16 -3 43
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 37 9 11 17 -10 38
18 West Ham United FC 37 9 9 19 -22 36
19 Burnley FC 37 4 9 24 -37 21
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 37 3 10 24 -41 19
West Ham
Leeds United

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.45

Home xG

1.65

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

West Ham Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
17/5 Newcastle United FC 3-1 West Ham United FC L 1.35
10/5 West Ham United FC 0-1 Arsenal FC L 1.25
2/5 Brentford FC 3-0 West Ham United FC L 1.24
25/4 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC W 1.35
20/4 Crystal Palace FC 0-0 West Ham United FC D 1.22

Leeds United Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
17/5 Leeds United FC 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 1.58
11/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.62
1/5 Leeds United FC 3-1 Burnley FC W 1.88
22/4 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC D 1.45
18/4 Leeds United FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 1.72
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

West Ham's extreme relegation pressure forces an aggressive high line, leaving them vulnerable to Leeds' clinical counter-attacks.

trending_up 2

Leeds' tactical shift to a 3-5-2 under Daniel Farke has led to a major upturn in form and superior xG creation (avg 1.6+) compared to West Ham.

person 3

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is in peak form for Leeds with 7 goals in his last 8 matches, facing a West Ham defense that has conceded 65 goals this season.

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Injuries & Absentees

West Ham are missing Adama Traore (quadriceps), losing a key explosive outlet. Crysencio Summerville remains a major doubt (calf) to start against his former club. Leeds are without wing-backs Jayden Bogle and Gabi Gudmundsson (hamstring), though they have effectively rotated these positions during their unbeaten run.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for West Ham vs Leeds United?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 52% for West Ham, 25% draw and 23% for Leeds United.

What is the recent form of West Ham and Leeds United?

West Ham form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Leeds United form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for West Ham vs Leeds United?

West Ham are missing Adama Traore (quadriceps), losing a key explosive outlet. Crysencio Summerville remains a major doubt (calf) to start against his former club. Leeds are without wing-backs Jayden Bogle and Gabi Gudmundsson (hamstring), though they have effectively rotated these positions during their unbeaten run.

What are the possible match scenarios for West Ham vs Leeds United?

Leeds Counter-Attack Exploitation (45%): West Ham commits too many bodies forward out of desperation, allowing Leeds to win 2-1 or 2-0 via clinical transitions. — Nervy High-Stakes Draw (30%): A high-tension match where West Ham cancels out a Leeds lead but fails to find the winning goal needed for safety. — West Ham Survival Stand (25%): Fueled by the London Stadium crowd and individual brilliance from Jarrod Bowen, West Ham secures a narrow 1-0 victory.

What are the current standings for West Ham and Leeds United in the Premier League?

West Ham are 18th in the Premier League with 36 points from 37 games. Leeds United are 14th with 47 points from 37 games.

What time does West Ham vs Leeds United kick off?

West Ham vs Leeds United kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for West Ham vs Leeds United?

The referee for West Ham vs Leeds United in the Premier League is Anthony Taylor.

What are the key factors for West Ham vs Leeds United?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for West Ham vs Leeds United: 1. West Ham's extreme relegation pressure forces an aggressive high line, leaving them vulnerable to Leeds' clinical counter-attacks. 2. Leeds' tactical shift to a 3-5-2 under Daniel Farke has led to a major upturn in form and superior xG creation (avg 1.6+) compared to West Ham. 3. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is in peak form for Leeds with 7 goals in his last 8 matches, facing a West Ham defense that has conceded 65 goals this season..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.