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West Ham vs Sunderland — Premier League Prediction 24 January 2026

West Ham
West Ham
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 24 Jan, 12:30 · Referee: Thomas Bramall (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for West Ham vs Sunderland in the Premier League. West Ham is the favourite with a 41% win probability. Sunderland has a 30% chance of winning and 29% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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West Ham vs Sunderland

This is a high-stakes encounter at the London Stadium. West Ham (18th) is fighting for Premier League survival following a 10-game winless run, while newly-promoted Sunderland (8th) is a surprise European contender. Conditions will be chilly (9°C) and windy, favoring a more direct, physical style of play.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

36%
31%
33%
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Scenario Explanation

1 upset of Spurs, but their lack of defensive organization makes them vulnerable to Sunderland's clinical duo of Brobbey and Isidor. Sunderland has proven they can frustrate top sides (0-0 vs Man City), but their recent away form (6 games winless on the road) suggests they may lack the killer instinct to take all three points in East London. The 'Value Tip' lies in the Asian Handicap +0.25 for Sunderland or the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market, as both teams prioritize transitions over possession. Probability Estimates: Draw (36%), West Ham Win (31%), Sunderland Win (33%).
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hull City AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Ipswich Town FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Leeds United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Liverpool FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Newcastle United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nottingham Forest FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Sunderland AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Ham
Sunderland
percent

Coach AI Odds

West Ham
41% · 29% · 30%
Sunderland
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.57

Home xG

1.38

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

West Ham Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▲
17/1 2-1 Win vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.16
6/1 1-2 Loss vs. Nottingham Forest FC
3/1 0-3 Loss vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
30/12 2-2 Draw vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
27/12 0-1 Loss vs. Fulham FC

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▲
17/1 2-1 Win vs. Crystal Palace FC 1.15
7/1 0-3 Loss vs. Brentford FC
4/1 1-1 Draw vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
1/1 0-0 Draw vs. Manchester City FC
28/12 1-1 Draw vs. Leeds United FC
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Defensive Frailty vs. Elite Shot-Stopping: West Ham enters with a 19-game streak without a clean sheet and a high xGA (2.0 per match), while Sunderland boasts the league's highest save percentage keeper in Robin Roefs (77%).

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Transitional Stalemate: Both teams rank in the bottom three for average possession (~42%), indicating a game defined by counter-attacking opportunities rather than sustained territorial dominance.

person 3

The Creative Void: West Ham is without indispensable playmaker Lucas Paquetá (lower back/transfer dispute), forcing a reliance on the individual brilliance of Summerville and Bowen against Sunderland's compact 4-4-2 block.

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Injuries & Absentees

West Ham is missing Lucas Paquetá and Łukasz Fabiański; the absence of Paquetá significantly hampers central progression. Sunderland is without Arthur Masuaku (Ankle) and Bertrand Traoré (Knee). Both sides are reintegrating AFCON returnees (Diouf for WHU; Talbi and Diarra for SUN), introducing high fatigue/rotation risk for the second half.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for West Ham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 41% for West Ham, 29% draw and 30% for Sunderland.

What is the recent form of West Ham and Sunderland?

West Ham form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Sunderland form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for West Ham vs Sunderland?

West Ham is missing Lucas Paquetá and Łukasz Fabiański; the absence of Paquetá significantly hampers central progression. Sunderland is without Arthur Masuaku (Ankle) and Bertrand Traoré (Knee). Both sides are reintegrating AFCON returnees (Diouf for WHU; Talbi and Diarra for SUN), introducing high fatigue/rotation risk for the second half.

What time does West Ham vs Sunderland kick off?

West Ham vs Sunderland kicks off on Saturday, 24 January 2026 at 13:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for West Ham vs Sunderland?

The referee for West Ham vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Thomas Bramall.

What are the key factors for West Ham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for West Ham vs Sunderland: 1. Defensive Frailty vs. Elite Shot-Stopping: West Ham enters with a 19-game streak without a clean sheet and a high xGA (2.0 per match), while Sunderland boasts the league's highest save percentage keeper in Robin Roefs (77%). 2. Transitional Stalemate: Both teams rank in the bottom three for average possession (~42%), indicating a game defined by counter-attacking opportunities rather than sustained territorial dominance. 3. The Creative Void: West Ham is without indispensable playmaker Lucas Paquetá (lower back/transfer dispute), forcing a reliance on the individual brilliance of Summerville and Bowen against Sunderland's compact 4-4-2 block..

What are the Coach AI odds for West Ham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for West Ham vs Sunderland: West Ham wins 41%, draw 29%, Sunderland wins 30%. The most likely outcome is West Ham with 41%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.