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Real Madrid vs SL Benfica: Champions League Prediction 25 February 2026

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions League
2
VS
1
schedule 25 Feb, 21:00 · Referee: Slavko Vinčič (Slovenia)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

SL Benfica
SL Benfica
Final result
2 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
★ Exact: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica in the Champions League. Real Madrid comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Real Madrid vs SL Benfica

Real Madrid beat SL Benfica 2-1 in the Champions League on 25 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the exact score.

Result2-1
Coach AI2-1exact
FansReal Madrid win (100%)right
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Pre-match preview: Real Madrid vs SL Benfica

This is a high-tension 2nd leg following Madrid's 1-0 win in Lisbon. The match is psychologically charged due to racism allegations involving Vinícius Jr. and Prestianni from the first leg. Tactically, Benfica must attack to overturn the deficit, playing into the hands of Madrid's world-class counter-attacking transition, even without Mbappé. Referee Slavko Vinčić is a favorable omen for Madrid, having officiated their 15th UCL title win.

#RMABEN #RealMadrid #SLBenfica #ChampionsLeague #FootballMeister

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Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1 (55%): Real Madrid exploits the spaces left by an advancing Benfica. Vinícius Jr., in peak form, leads a clinical counter-attack to secure a narrow home win. Scenario 2 (30%): Benfica's high-pressing intensity causes errors in Madrid's makeshift defense, leading to a high-scoring draw (2-2) that sees Madrid through on aggregate. Scenario 3 (15%): An inspired Anatoliy Trubin keeps Benfica in the game, but Madrid's experience in knockout management produces a low-scoring 1-1 or 1-0.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

League phase

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 FC Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Aston Villa FC 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 VfB Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Liverpool FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Real Madrid CF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Real Betis Balompié 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 FC Bayern München 2 1 1 0 +5 4
11 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Como 1907 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
14 Villarreal CF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
15 Club Atlético de Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Club Brugge KV 2 1 0 1 0 3
17 Manchester City FC 2 1 0 1 0 3
18 Borussia Dortmund 2 1 0 1 0 3
19 Racing Club de Lens 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 PAE AEK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
21 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 -2 3
22 Sabah FK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
23 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 -3 3
24 FK Bodø/Glimt 2 1 0 1 -4 3
25 AS Roma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
26 PSV 2 0 1 1 -1 1
27 Viking FK 2 0 1 1 -2 1
28 Fenerbahçe SK 2 0 1 1 -6 1
29 FC Internazionale Milano 2 0 0 2 -2 0
30 FC Porto 2 0 0 2 -3 0
31 SK Slavia Praha 2 0 0 2 -3 0
32 SSC Napoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
33 LASK Linz 2 0 0 2 -4 0
34 Lille OSC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
35 Galatasaray SK 2 0 0 2 -5 0
36 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2 0 0 2 -8 0
Real Madrid
SL Benfica
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Real Madrid D SL Benfica
100%
100% 0% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 44%
3-1 22%
2-0 22%
1-0 11%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Real Madrid and SL Benfica in Football Meister data

1Real Madrid wins
0draws
1SL Benfica wins

Goals: 3 for Real Madrid, 4 for SL Benfica.

Coach AI called 0 of the 2 previous meetings right, 0 of them with the exact score.

Previous meetings

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Real Madrid SL Benfica
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.15

Home xG

0.95

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Real Madrid Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
▼
▲
17/2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid CF W 1.95
28/1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid CF L 1.95
20/1 Real Madrid CF 6-1 AS Monaco FC W 2.15
10/12 Real Madrid CF 1-2 Manchester City FC L
26/11 PAE Olympiakos SFP 3-4 Real Madrid CF W

SL Benfica Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▼
17/2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid CF L 1.35
28/1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid CF W 1.25
21/1 Juventus FC 2-0 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 1.43
10/12 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2-0 SSC Napoli W
25/11 AFC Ajax 0-2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica W
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Efficiency Gap: Real Madrid has significantly overperformed their xG (22 goals from 17.0 xG), while Benfica has struggled with conversion (15 goals from 20.1 xG) in this competition.

trending_up 2

Bernabéu Fortress: Real Madrid enters this match with six consecutive home victories, averaging 3.5 goals per game at home during this period.

person 3

Defensive Vulnerability: With Éder Militão and Dean Huijsen injured, Real Madrid is forced to start youngster Raúl Asencio in central defense, leaving them susceptible to Benfica's high shot volume (182 shots this season).

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Injuries & Absentees

Real Madrid faces a crisis with Jude Bellingham, Éder Militão, and Dean Huijsen out. Rodrygo is suspended. Most critically, Kylian Mbappé is a major doubt following a late knee setback in training; if he misses out, homegrown talent Gonzalo García (6 goals in 7 starts) will likely debut. Benfica is missing Prestianni (suspension) and manager José Mourinho (touchline ban), though they regain key midfielder Richard Ríos.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Real Madrid beat SL Benfica 2-1 in the Champions League on 25 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Real Madrid vs SL Benfica correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the exact score. The fans predicted Real Madrid win (100%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Real Madrid and SL Benfica?

Real Madrid form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. SL Benfica form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Real Madrid faces a crisis with Jude Bellingham, Éder Militão, and Dean Huijsen out. Rodrygo is suspended. Most critically, Kylian Mbappé is a major doubt following a late knee setback in training; if he misses out, homegrown talent Gonzalo García (6 goals in 7 starts) will likely debut. Benfica is missing Prestianni (suspension) and manager José Mourinho (touchline ban), though they regain key midfielder Richard Ríos.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and SL Benfica?

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Real Madrid and SL Benfica: Real Madrid won 1, SL Benfica won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 3-4.

What was the last result between Real Madrid and SL Benfica?

The last meeting was on 17 Feb 2026: SL Benfica - Real Madrid 0-1. Coach AI predicted 1-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Real Madrid and SL Benfica?

Coach AI called 0 of the 2 previous meetings right, 0 of them with the exact score.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Among Football Meister players, 100% back a home win for Real Madrid, 0% a draw, and 0% an away win for SL Benfica. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Real Madrid: fans pick 100% home win, Coach AI calculates 65%.

What is the most popular prediction for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

The most predicted scoreline for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 100% back Real Madrid, 0% a draw and 0% SL Benfica.

What time does Real Madrid vs SL Benfica kick off?

Real Madrid vs SL Benfica kicks off on Wednesday, 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Champions League.

Who is the referee for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

The referee for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica in the Champions League is Slavko Vinčič.

What are the key factors for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica: 1. Efficiency Gap: Real Madrid has significantly overperformed their xG (22 goals from 17.0 xG), while Benfica has struggled with conversion (15 goals from 20.1 xG) in this competition. 2. Bernabéu Fortress: Real Madrid enters this match with six consecutive home victories, averaging 3.5 goals per game at home during this period. 3. Defensive Vulnerability: With Éder Militão and Dean Huijsen injured, Real Madrid is forced to start youngster Raúl Asencio in central defense, leaving them susceptible to Benfica's high shot volume (182 shots this season)..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Real Madrid vs SL Benfica?

Coach AI sees Real Madrid as the stronger side in Real Madrid vs SL Benfica. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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