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Everton vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 22 August 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 22 Aug, 16:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 06 Aug 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Everton vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Everton is the favourite with a 45% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 28% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Everton vs Crystal Palace

This is the opening match of the 2026/27 Premier League season. Both teams finished in the lower half of the table last year and are desperate for a positive start to avoid a relegation narrative. The weather in Liverpool is expected to be mild (19°C) with light showers, which traditionally favors Everton's physical, high-intensity 'Moyes-style' approach. The tactical battle pits David Moyes’ structured 4-2-3-1 against Pierre Sage's transitional 3-4-2-1. Palace will look to exploit spaces left by Everton's aggressive home press, but their depleted midfield may struggle to sustain pressure.

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analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

48%
32%
20%

Home Opening Surge

48%

Everton uses the home crowd and new signings to dominate a depleted Palace midfield, securing a narrow victory.

Midfield War Of Attrition

32%

A cautious opening day approach leads to a low-scoring draw where both teams prioritize defensive structure over risk.

Counter Punch Success

20%

Crystal Palace absorbs pressure and uses Eberechi Eze's pace to exploit Everton on the transition for an away win.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
Everton
Crystal Palace
percent

Coach AI Odds

Everton
45% · 27% · 28%
Crystal Palace
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.42

Home xG

1.24

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
24/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-0 Everton FC L 1.38
17/5 Everton FC 1-3 Sunderland AFC L 1.34
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
4/5 Everton FC 3-3 Manchester City FC D 1.05
25/4 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC L 1.25

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
24/5 Crystal Palace FC 1-2 Arsenal FC L 1.10
17/5 Brentford FC 2-2 Crystal Palace FC D 1.04
13/5 Manchester City FC 3-0 Crystal Palace FC L 0.92
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.54
3/5 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC L 1.22
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

New Stadium Momentum: Everton is entering its second season at the Hill Dickinson Stadium; historically, they have not lost to Palace in their last 6 home encounters.

trending_up 2

Midfield Depletion: Crystal Palace is significantly weakened in the pivot with Adam Wharton (Ankle) and Cheick Doucouré (Knee) sidelined, while Everton debuts Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.

person 3

Defensive Transition: Palace recently sold star defender Maxence Lacroix to Chelsea for €60m; while Takehiro Tomiyasu has arrived, the lack of defensive cohesion early in the season is a major vulnerability.

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Efficiency vs. Volume: Both teams ended last season (2025/26) performing almost exactly to their xG (1.24 for Everton, 1.08 for Palace), suggesting a match decided by tactical discipline rather than statistical anomalies.

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton is likely without James Garner (groin surgery), placing pressure on new signing Dewsbury-Hall to anchor the midfield immediately. However, the return of Jarrad Branthwaite to the starting XI after a hamstring scare provides much-needed stability. Crystal Palace faces a crisis in central midfield with Wharton and Doucouré out; their ability to progress the ball through the middle is severely compromised, likely forcing Pierre Sage into a more defensive, wing-oriented setup.

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Key Players

Everton

Iliman Ndiaye CAM
personIn Form
Jarrad Branthwaite CB
personKey Threat

Crystal Palace

Eberechi Eze CAM
personIn Form
Takehiro Tomiyasu RB
helpDoubtful

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 45% for Everton, 27% draw and 28% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Everton and Crystal Palace?

Everton form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton is likely without James Garner (groin surgery), placing pressure on new signing Dewsbury-Hall to anchor the midfield immediately. However, the return of Jarrad Branthwaite to the starting XI after a hamstring scare provides much-needed stability. Crystal Palace faces a crisis in central midfield with Wharton and Doucouré out; their ability to progress the ball through the middle is severely compromised, likely forcing Pierre Sage into a more defensive, wing-oriented setup.

What are the possible match scenarios for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Home Opening Surge (48%): Everton uses the home crowd and new signings to dominate a depleted Palace midfield, securing a narrow victory. — Midfield War Of Attrition (32%): A cautious opening day approach leads to a low-scoring draw where both teams prioritize defensive structure over risk. — Counter Punch Success (20%): Crystal Palace absorbs pressure and uses Eberechi Eze's pace to exploit Everton on the transition for an away win.

What are the current standings for Everton and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Everton are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Crystal Palace are 15th with 45 points from 38 games.

What time does Everton vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Everton vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Crystal Palace: 1. New Stadium Momentum: Everton is entering its second season at the Hill Dickinson Stadium; historically, they have not lost to Palace in their last 6 home encounters. 2. Midfield Depletion: Crystal Palace is significantly weakened in the pivot with Adam Wharton (Ankle) and Cheick Doucouré (Knee) sidelined, while Everton debuts Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. 3. Defensive Transition: Palace recently sold star defender Maxence Lacroix to Chelsea for €60m; while Takehiro Tomiyasu has arrived, the lack of defensive cohesion early in the season is a major vulnerability. 4. Efficiency vs. Volume: Both teams ended last season (2025/26) performing almost exactly to their xG (1.24 for Everton, 1.08 for Palace), suggesting a match decided by tactical discipline rather than statistical anomalies..

Who are the key players for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Everton vs Crystal Palace. Everton: Iliman Ndiaye (In Form), Jarrad Branthwaite (Key Threat). Crystal Palace: Eberechi Eze (In Form), Takehiro Tomiyasu (Doubtful).

What are the Coach AI odds for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Everton vs Crystal Palace: Everton wins 45%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace wins 28%. The most likely outcome is Everton with 45%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.