Nottingham vs Leeds United: Premier League Prediction 22 August 2026

Leeds United beat Nottingham 1-0 in the Premier League (matchday 1) on 22 August 2026. Goals: Anton Stach 88', Leeds United.

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Nottingham win (60%), which was not right.

Most pool points in this match: Anton Stach (Leeds United), 2 from 1 goal.

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Nottingham vs Leeds United. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Nottingham form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Leeds United form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.

Nottingham Forest is without Nicolo Savona (knee) and Ryan Yates (unavailable), which weakens their defensive rotation and midfield grit. Leeds United faces a significant blow with star winger Wilfried Gnonto and Gabriel Gudmundsson both ruled out with hamstring injuries sustained in pre-season. New signing Nico Elvedi is expected to debut in defense, providing much-needed stability against Forest's pace.

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Nottingham and Leeds United: Nottingham won 1, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 4-4.

The last meeting was on 6 Feb 2026: Leeds United - Nottingham 3-1. Coach AI predicted 1-1.

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

According to the score probability matrix, 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (21%), followed by 1-1 (20%) and 2-0 (12%).

Glasner's Pressing Success (48%): Forest utilizes a high-intensity press to disrupt Leeds' build-up, leading to quick transition goals through Gibbs-White.; Calvert-Lewin Aerial Rescue (32%): Leeds struggles with the press but finds success through Harry Wilson's crosses to Calvert-Lewin to secure a point.; Opening Day Tactical Stalemate (20%): Strict officiating and early-season rustiness lead to a low-scoring draw with multiple yellow cards.

Among Football Meister players, 60% back a home win for Nottingham, 20% a draw, and 20% an away win for Leeds United. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Nottingham: fans pick 60% home win, Coach AI calculates 42%.

The most predicted scoreline for Nottingham vs Leeds United is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 60% back Nottingham, 20% a draw and 20% Leeds United.

60% of fans predict a win for Nottingham, with an average confidence of 44% (low confidence). Despite 60% backing this outcome, conviction is only low confidence (44%), a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

Nottingham are 18th in the Premier League with 5 points from 7 games. Leeds United are 7th with 10 points from 7 games.

Confirmed lineup Nottingham (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels, Neco Williams, Murillo, Jair Paula, Ola Aina, Nikola Milenković, James McAtee, Ibrahim Sangaré, Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Igor Jesus. Confirmed lineup Leeds United (3-4-2-1): James Trafford, Jaka Bijol, Jayden Bogle, Tarik Muharemović, Joe Rodon, James Justin, Brenden Aaronson, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Harry Wilson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Goal scorers in Nottingham vs Leeds United: Anton Stach 88', Leeds United. Final score: Nottingham 0 - 1 Leeds United.

Nottingham vs Leeds United kicks off on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Nottingham vs Leeds United in the Premier League is Robert Jones.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Leeds United: 1. Tactical Shift: Nottingham Forest begins a new era under Oliver Glasner, focusing on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions, while Farke's Leeds relies on sustained possession and an overhauled attack featuring Dominic Calvert-Lewin. 2. Leeds Offensive Overhaul: With new signings Harry Wilson and record-buy James Trafford in goal, Leeds looks more balanced, but the absence of Wilfried Gnonto (hamstring) reduces their 1v1 threat on the wings. 3. Strict Officiating: Referee Rob Jones is known for a high yellow card volume (4.25 per game last season). Combined with new 2026/27 rules cracking down on time-wasting (5-second throw-in rule), the match rhythm could be frequently interrupted. 4. Efficiency vs. Volume: Last season's data shows Forest were highly clinical in their final games (overperforming xG), while Leeds struggled to convert high-quality chances (underperforming xG), making the clinical nature of DCL crucial for the visitors..

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Nottingham vs Leeds United. Nottingham: Morgan Gibbs-White (In Form), Callum Hudson-Odoi (Key Threat). Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (In Form), Harry Wilson (Key Threat).

Coach AI sees Nottingham as the stronger side in Nottingham vs Leeds United. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.