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Fulham vs Chelsea — Premier League Prediction 24 August 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 24 Aug, 20:00 · Referee: John Brooks (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 04 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Cole Palmer sports_soccer Gonzalo García
Chelsea
Chelsea
Final result
2 – 3
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Joshua King 23'
sports_soccer Gonzalo García 54'
sports_soccer João Pedro 1'
sports_soccer Morgan Rogers 41'
sports_soccer Cole Palmer 49'
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Fulham vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Chelsea is the favourite with a 39% win probability. Fulham has a 33% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Fulham vs Chelsea

This West London derby opens the 2026/27 season under perfect conditions (22°C, sunny intervals). Historically, Fulham struggles in opening-day London derbies, while Chelsea enters a new era under Xabi Alonso. Motivation is at a seasonal high for both sides, but Chelsea's individual quality and tactical flexibility (3-4-2-1) present a major challenge for Arbeloa's transitioning Fulham squad.

#FULCHE #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Alonso's Tactical Edge

55%

Chelsea controls possession and breaks through via the creative link-up between Palmer and Rogers, exploiting Andersen's absence.

Opening Day Stalemate

30%

Both teams exhibit early-season rustiness and tactical caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw at the Cottage.

Cottage Counter-Punch

15%

Fulham remains compact and record-signing Gonzalo García scores on his debut via a quick transition to upset the visitors.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull City AFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea FC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Brentford FC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Newcastle United FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Everton FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Leeds United FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Sunderland AFC 2 1 0 1 0 3
12 Ipswich Town FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Liverpool FC 2 0 2 0 0 2
14 AFC Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nottingham Forest FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Fulham FC 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Coventry City FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Aston Villa FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
Fulham
Chelsea

Most likely scorelines

0-1 15% 1-1 13% 0-2 12%
grid_on

Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 15%
1-1 13%
0-2 12%
Chelsea (Away)
Fulham (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
15.0%
12.0%
5.0%
1.0%
1
9.0%
13.0%
8.0%
4.0%
0.0%
2
6.0%
7.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
3.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probability shifts toward Chelsea due to Fulham losing Andersen (key defender) and Chelsea's high-value additions in attack. However, opening day cohesion issues keep 0-1 and 1-1 as high-probability anchors.

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Coach AI Odds

Fulham
33% · 28% · 39%
Chelsea
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.42

Home xG

1.78

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
24/5 Fulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC W 1.42
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.45
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
2/5 Arsenal FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 1.25
25/4 Fulham FC 1-0 Aston Villa FC W 1.38

Chelsea Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
24/5 Sunderland AFC 2-1 Chelsea FC L 1.82
19/5 Chelsea FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.85
9/5 Liverpool FC 1-1 Chelsea FC D 1.70
4/5 Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.87
21/4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 Chelsea FC L 1.90
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Managerial Debut Battle: This match marks the competitive debut for both Alvaro Arbeloa (Fulham) and Xabi Alonso (Chelsea), former Real Madrid teammates now facing off tactically.

trending_up 2

Chelsea's xG Regression: Despite high xG metrics (avg 1.81 in late 2025/26), Chelsea struggled with conversion. With the British-record signing of Morgan Rogers and Xabi Alonso’s tactical system, efficiency is expected to improve.

person 3

Fulham Defensive Void: The suspension of Joachim Andersen leaves a significant hole in the Cottagers' backline, which new signing Jorge Cuenca must fill against a high-octane Chelsea attack.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Fulham are significantly weakened defensively by the suspension of Joachim Andersen and the absence of captain Tom Cairney (knee). Chelsea are missing Wesley Fofana (suspended) and new striker Emmanuel Emegha, but have deep coverage following a £200m+ summer spend, including debutant Maxence Lacroix in defense.

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Key Players

Fulham

Gonzalo García ST
personKey Threat
Oscar Bobb RW
personIn Form

Chelsea

Cole Palmer CAM
personIn Form
Morgan Rogers LW
personKey Threat
group

Confirmed Lineups

Fulham Confirmed

4-2-3-1

14
Bobb ST
7
García ST
17
Iwobi ST
16
Berge CM
8
Palacios CM
24
King CM
3
Bassey CB
21
Castagne CB
4
Cuenca CB
33
Robinson CB
1
Leno GK

Bench

23 Benjamin Lecomte 30 Ryan Sessegnon 2 Kenny Tete 44 Luc De Fougerolles 19 Shea Charles 6 Harrison Reed 32 Emile Smith Rowe 11 Kevin Santos 9 Rodrigo Muniz
Chelsea Confirmed

3-4-3

9
Pedro ST
45
Lavia CM
10
Palmer CM
17
Rogers CM
34
Acheampong CB
6
Colwill CB
27
Gusto CB
21
Hato CB
24
James CB
5
Lacroix CB
1
Sánchez GK

Bench

39 Mike Penders 29 Pep Chavarría 4 Valentin Barco 8 Enzo Fernández 41 Estevao 23 Geovany Quenda 11 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 7 Pedro Neto 18 Danny Welbeck

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 33% for Fulham, 28% draw and 39% for Chelsea.

What is the recent form of Fulham and Chelsea?

Fulham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Chelsea form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Fulham are significantly weakened defensively by the suspension of Joachim Andersen and the absence of captain Tom Cairney (knee). Chelsea are missing Wesley Fofana (suspended) and new striker Emmanuel Emegha, but have deep coverage following a £200m+ summer spend, including debutant Maxence Lacroix in defense.

What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Chelsea?

According to the score probability matrix, 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 1-1 (13%) and 0-2 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Alonso's Tactical Edge (55%): Chelsea controls possession and breaks through via the creative link-up between Palmer and Rogers, exploiting Andersen's absence. — Opening Day Stalemate (30%): Both teams exhibit early-season rustiness and tactical caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw at the Cottage. — Cottage Counter-Punch (15%): Fulham remains compact and record-signing Gonzalo García scores on his debut via a quick transition to upset the visitors.

What are the current standings for Fulham and Chelsea in the Premier League?

Fulham are 16th in the Premier League with 0 points from 2 games. Chelsea are 4th with 6 points from 2 games.

What is the confirmed lineup for Fulham and Chelsea?

Confirmed lineup Fulham (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Calvin Bassey, Timothy Castagne, Jorge Cuenca, Antonee Robinson, Sander Berge, César Palacios, Joshua King, Oscar Bobb, Gonzalo García, Alex Iwobi. Confirmed lineup Chelsea (3-4-3): Robert Sánchez, Josh Acheampong, Levi Colwill, Malo Gusto, Jorrel Hato, Reece James, Maxence Lacroix, Romeo Lavia, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, João Pedro. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Who scored the goals in Fulham vs Chelsea?

Goal scorers in Fulham vs Chelsea: João Pedro 1' — Chelsea, Joshua King 23' — Fulham, Morgan Rogers 41' — Chelsea, Cole Palmer 49' — Chelsea, Gonzalo García 54' — Fulham. Final score: {{HOME_TEAM}} 2 - 3 {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

What time does Fulham vs Chelsea kick off?

Fulham vs Chelsea kicks off on Monday, 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Fulham vs Chelsea?

The referee for Fulham vs Chelsea in the Premier League is John Brooks.

What are the key factors for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Chelsea: 1. Managerial Debut Battle: This match marks the competitive debut for both Alvaro Arbeloa (Fulham) and Xabi Alonso (Chelsea), former Real Madrid teammates now facing off tactically. 2. Chelsea's xG Regression: Despite high xG metrics (avg 1.81 in late 2025/26), Chelsea struggled with conversion. With the British-record signing of Morgan Rogers and Xabi Alonso’s tactical system, efficiency is expected to improve. 3. Fulham Defensive Void: The suspension of Joachim Andersen leaves a significant hole in the Cottagers' backline, which new signing Jorge Cuenca must fill against a high-octane Chelsea attack..

Who are the key players for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Fulham vs Chelsea. Fulham: Gonzalo García (Key Threat), Oscar Bobb (In Form). Chelsea: Cole Palmer (In Form), Morgan Rogers (Key Threat).

What are the Coach AI odds for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Fulham vs Chelsea: Fulham wins 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea wins 39%. The most likely outcome is Chelsea with 39%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Bookmakers give Fulham a 28% win probability, 26% draw and Chelsea 51% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 26% for Fulham, 28% draw and 46% for Chelsea.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.