Coach AI Odds
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
New Managerial Eras: Newcastle's Matthias Jaissle (replacing Howe) vs Liverpool's Andoni Iraola (replacing Slot). Liverpool's high-pressing 'Iraola-ball' showed better cohesion in pre-season than Newcastle's experimental setup.
Squad Overhaul: Newcastle sold their core (Guimarães, Tonali, Gordon) for £236m, leaving a void in midfield experience. Liverpool lost club legends Salah and Robertson but replaced them with elite talent like Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz.
Tactical Vulnerability: Newcastle is managing a defensive crisis with Tino Livramento and Lewis Hall sidelined, leaving them exposed to Liverpool's direct attacking style and high PPDA (Pressing Intensity).
Injuries & Absentees
Newcastle enters the match with significant defensive absences; Tino Livramento (calf) and Lewis Hall are out, forcing Jaissle to rely on new signing Amar Dedić immediately. Liverpool is missing Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley, while Joe Gomez remains a major doubt. However, Liverpool's depth in the 2026/27 squad remains superior following their heavy summer reinvestment.
Key Players
Newcastle
Liverpool
Confirmed Lineups
4-2-3-1
Bench
4-2-3-1
Bench
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-3 with a win probability of 25% for Newcastle, 27% draw and 48% for Liverpool.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Liverpool?
Newcastle form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Liverpool form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Newcastle enters the match with significant defensive absences; Tino Livramento (calf) and Lewis Hall are out, forcing Jaissle to rely on new signing Amar Dedić immediately. Liverpool is missing Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley, while Joe Gomez remains a major doubt. However, Liverpool's depth in the 2026/27 squad remains superior following their heavy summer reinvestment.
What is the most likely correct score for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 0-2 (12%) and 1-1 (10%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Iraola-ball Dominance (62%): Liverpool's high press forces errors from Newcastle's rebuilding midfield, leading to a multi-goal victory for the visitors. — St. James' Park Resilience (25%): A chaotic, high-energy match where Newcastle uses the home crowd to fight back for a high-scoring draw. — Tactical Stalemate (13%): Newcastle plays a deep block to negate Liverpool's pace, leading to a low-scoring or narrow home surprise.
What are the current standings for Newcastle and Liverpool in the Premier League?
Newcastle are 6th in the Premier League with 4 points from 2 games. Liverpool are 13th with 2 points from 2 games.
What is the confirmed lineup for Newcastle and Liverpool?
Confirmed lineup Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Amar Dedić, Lewis Hall, Sean Steur, Lewis Miley, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Anthony Elanga. Confirmed lineup Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker, Virgil van Dijk, Jeremy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez, Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo, Rio Ngumoha. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.
Who scored the goals in Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Goal scorers in Newcastle vs Liverpool: Anthony Elanga 5' — Newcastle, Cody Gakpo 55' — Liverpool, Joe Willock 57' — Newcastle, Dominik Szoboszlai 90+9' — Liverpool (pen.). Final score: {{HOME_TEAM}} 2 - 2 {{AWAY_TEAM}}.
What time does Newcastle vs Liverpool kick off?
Newcastle vs Liverpool kicks off on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
The referee for Newcastle vs Liverpool in the Premier League is Stuart Attwell.
What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Liverpool: 1. New Managerial Eras: Newcastle's Matthias Jaissle (replacing Howe) vs Liverpool's Andoni Iraola (replacing Slot). Liverpool's high-pressing 'Iraola-ball' showed better cohesion in pre-season than Newcastle's experimental setup. 2. Squad Overhaul: Newcastle sold their core (Guimarães, Tonali, Gordon) for £236m, leaving a void in midfield experience. Liverpool lost club legends Salah and Robertson but replaced them with elite talent like Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz. 3. Tactical Vulnerability: Newcastle is managing a defensive crisis with Tino Livramento and Lewis Hall sidelined, leaving them exposed to Liverpool's direct attacking style and high PPDA (Pressing Intensity)..
Who are the key players for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Coach AI has identified the following key players for Newcastle vs Liverpool. Newcastle: Bazoumana Touré (In Form), Nick Pope (Key Threat). Liverpool: Alexander Isak (In Form), Florian Wirtz (Key Threat).
What are the Coach AI odds for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Newcastle vs Liverpool: Newcastle wins 25%, draw 27%, Liverpool wins 48%. The most likely outcome is Liverpool with 48%.
What are the bookmaker odds for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Bookmakers give Newcastle a 31% win probability, 26% draw and Liverpool 43% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 23% for Newcastle, 29% draw and 48% for Liverpool.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.