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Liverpool vs Fulham — Premier League Prediction 11 April 2026

Liverpool
Liverpool
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 11 Apr, 16:30 · Referee: Anthony Taylor (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Liverpool vs Fulham in the Premier League. Liverpool is the favourite with a 56% win probability. Fulham has a 21% chance of winning and 23% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Liverpool vs Fulham

This is a high-stakes clash for Arne Slot, whose job security is under scrutiny. Liverpool currently holds 5th place (a UCL spot) but is in a freefall. Fulham, sitting 9th, has excelled as giant-killers, holding the Reds to a 2-2 draw earlier this year. Weather forecasts predict cold rain (7°C) at Anfield, which typically speeds up the surface—benefiting Liverpool's passing but increasing the risk of errors for a nervous defense.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
35%
10%
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Scenario Explanation

1) Liverpool Desperation Win (55%): The Anfield atmosphere and statistical underperformance lead to a narrow 2-1 victory as they finally convert their high xG volume. 2) The Frustration Draw (35%): Fulham's disciplined 4-4-2 low block and Liverpool's European fatigue result in a 1-1 stalemate, similar to their January meeting. 3) Crisis Deepens (10%): Fulham exploits Liverpool’s transition weakness on the break for a 1-2 upset. Despite the slump, Liverpool's underlying shot volume (132 SOG vs Fulham's 118) suggests they will eventually find the net.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hull City AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Ipswich Town FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Leeds United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Liverpool FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Newcastle United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nottingham Forest FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Sunderland AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liverpool
Fulham
percent

Coach AI Odds

Liverpool
56% · 23% · 21%
Fulham
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.10

Home xG

1.20

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▲
▼
▼
8/4 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-0 Liverpool FC L 1.45
21/3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-1 Liverpool FC L 1.78
18/3 Liverpool FC 4-0 Galatasaray SK W 2.25
15/3 Liverpool FC 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 2.38
10/3 Galatasaray SK 1-0 Liverpool FC L 1.78

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▲
▼
▼
▲
21/3 Fulham FC 3-1 Burnley FC W 1.58
15/3 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.38
4/3 Fulham FC 0-1 West Ham United FC L 1.57
1/3 Fulham FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.62
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC W 1.12
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Key Factors

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Statistical Regression: Liverpool has underperformed their xG by ~3.6 goals in their last five matches, suggesting a potential 'regression to the mean' where finishing quality improves.

trending_up 2

Transition Vulnerability: Liverpool concedes ~40% of their chances via defensive transitions, playing into the hands of Marco Silva's clinical Fulham side (league-high goals in the final 20 minutes).

person 3

Psychological & Fatigue Factor: Liverpool is at a 'decade-low' point following a 2-0 PSG defeat and 3 consecutive losses; squad rotation is forced due to the Champions League schedule and multiple injuries.

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Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool faces a crisis at the back: Alisson (muscle) remains out with Mamardashvili deputizing. Key right-back Jeremie Frimpong and Joe Gomez are major doubts, potentially forcing Dominik Szoboszlai into a makeshift wing-back role. Fulham is missing Kenny Tete (ankle) and Harrison Reed (knee), but the return of Calvin Bassey significantly stabilizes their low block.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 56% for Liverpool, 23% draw and 21% for Fulham.

What is the recent form of Liverpool and Fulham?

Liverpool form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Fulham form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Liverpool faces a crisis at the back: Alisson (muscle) remains out with Mamardashvili deputizing. Key right-back Jeremie Frimpong and Joe Gomez are major doubts, potentially forcing Dominik Szoboszlai into a makeshift wing-back role. Fulham is missing Kenny Tete (ankle) and Harrison Reed (knee), but the return of Calvin Bassey significantly stabilizes their low block.

What are the current standings for Liverpool and Fulham in the Premier League?

Liverpool are 1st in the Premier League with 0 points from 0 games. Fulham are 1st with 0 points from 0 games.

What time does Liverpool vs Fulham kick off?

Liverpool vs Fulham kicks off on Saturday, 11 April 2026 at 18:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Liverpool vs Fulham?

The referee for Liverpool vs Fulham in the Premier League is Anthony Taylor.

What are the key factors for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Liverpool vs Fulham: 1. Statistical Regression: Liverpool has underperformed their xG by ~3.6 goals in their last five matches, suggesting a potential 'regression to the mean' where finishing quality improves. 2. Transition Vulnerability: Liverpool concedes ~40% of their chances via defensive transitions, playing into the hands of Marco Silva's clinical Fulham side (league-high goals in the final 20 minutes). 3. Psychological & Fatigue Factor: Liverpool is at a 'decade-low' point following a 2-0 PSG defeat and 3 consecutive losses; squad rotation is forced due to the Champions League schedule and multiple injuries..

What are the Coach AI odds for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Liverpool vs Fulham: Liverpool wins 56%, draw 23%, Fulham wins 21%. The most likely outcome is Liverpool with 56%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.