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Nottingham vs Bournemouth — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Nottingham
Nottingham
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Craig Pawson (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 21 May 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Kickoff in —

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Nottingham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Bournemouth is the favourite with a 44% win probability. Nottingham has a 30% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Nottingham vs Bournemouth

This is a Matchday 38 clash with divergent stakes. Forest is mathematically safe from relegation and playing for pride at the City Ground. Bournemouth is enjoying a historic season and requires a result to secure 6th place and maintain a slim chance of 5th, while also hoping for a Champions League spot upgrade depending on the Europa League final outcome.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Bournemouth European Push

55%

Bournemouth dominates territory and capitalizes on a weakened Forest defense to secure the win and 6th place.

End-of-Season Stalemate

30%

A high-intensity game where Forest's home advantage cancels out Bournemouth's quality, ending in a score draw.

City Ground Resilience

15%

Forest plays without pressure and secures a narrow win, while Bournemouth struggles with the weight of expectation.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
14 Leeds United FC 37 11 14 12 -4 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 37 11 12 14 -9 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 37 11 10 16 -3 43
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 37 9 11 17 -10 38
18 West Ham United FC 37 9 9 19 -22 36
···
4 Aston Villa FC 37 18 8 11 +6 62
5 Liverpool FC 37 17 8 12 +10 59
6 AFC Bournemouth 37 13 17 7 +4 56
7 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 37 14 11 12 +9 53
8 Chelsea FC 37 14 10 13 +7 52
Nottingham
Bournemouth

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.52

Home xG

1.58

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Nottingham Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▲
▼
▲
▲
▲
17/5 Manchester United FC 3-2 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.45
10/5 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Newcastle United FC D 1.58
4/5 Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.34
24/4 Sunderland AFC 0-5 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.34
19/4 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC W 1.78

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▲
19/5 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City FC D 1.35
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth W 1.57
3/5 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC W 1.68
22/4 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC D 1.82
18/4 Newcastle United FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.55
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

High motivation for Bournemouth who need a point to secure 6th place and a potential Champions League upgrade.

trending_up 2

Nottingham Forest has significantly over-performed their xG in the last 5 games (+7.5 goals), suggesting a regression to the mean is likely against a disciplined defense.

person 3

Major injury crisis for Forest with key defenders (Murillo, Boly) and creative outlet Hudson-Odoi ruled out.

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Injuries & Absentees

Nottingham Forest is severely depleted in defense with Murillo, Willy Boly, and Ola Aina sidelined. The absence of Callum Hudson-Odoi also removes their primary threat on the break. Bournemouth is missing Ryan Christie (suspension) but remains tactically stable under Andoni Iraola.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 30% for Nottingham, 26% draw and 44% for Bournemouth.

What is the recent form of Nottingham and Bournemouth?

Nottingham form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?

Nottingham Forest is severely depleted in defense with Murillo, Willy Boly, and Ola Aina sidelined. The absence of Callum Hudson-Odoi also removes their primary threat on the break. Bournemouth is missing Ryan Christie (suspension) but remains tactically stable under Andoni Iraola.

What are the possible match scenarios for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth European Push (55%): Bournemouth dominates territory and capitalizes on a weakened Forest defense to secure the win and 6th place. — End-of-Season Stalemate (30%): A high-intensity game where Forest's home advantage cancels out Bournemouth's quality, ending in a score draw. — City Ground Resilience (15%): Forest plays without pressure and secures a narrow win, while Bournemouth struggles with the weight of expectation.

What are the current standings for Nottingham and Bournemouth in the Premier League?

Nottingham are 16th in the Premier League with 43 points from 37 games. Bournemouth are 6th with 56 points from 37 games.

What time does Nottingham vs Bournemouth kick off?

Nottingham vs Bournemouth kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?

The referee for Nottingham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Craig Pawson.

What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Bournemouth: 1. High motivation for Bournemouth who need a point to secure 6th place and a potential Champions League upgrade. 2. Nottingham Forest has significantly over-performed their xG in the last 5 games (+7.5 goals), suggesting a regression to the mean is likely against a disciplined defense. 3. Major injury crisis for Forest with key defenders (Murillo, Boly) and creative outlet Hudson-Odoi ruled out..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.