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West Ham vs Bournemouth — Premier League Prediction 21 February 2026

West Ham
West Ham
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 21 Feb, 17:30 · Referee: Sam Barrott (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Final result
0 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for West Ham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. West Ham is the favourite with a 40% win probability. Bournemouth has a 34% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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West Ham vs Bournemouth

This is a clash between a West Ham side fighting for Premier League survival (18th) and a Bournemouth team chasing European qualification (9th). The match will be played in typical cold, drizzly London conditions (~7°C), which favors a high-intensity physical game. Referee Sam Barrott is officiating, known for being relatively strict with carding during high-press scenarios.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 or 2-2 draw, as West Ham often starts matches strongly at the London Stadium but fails to maintain the clean sheet. The least likely scenario (20%) is a West Ham home win, which would require an exceptional individual performance from Crysencio Summerville or Jarrod Bowen to overcome Bournemouth's structured high press.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hull City AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Ipswich Town FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Leeds United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Liverpool FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester City FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Manchester United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Newcastle United FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nottingham Forest FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Sunderland AFC 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Ham
Bournemouth
percent

Coach AI Odds

West Ham
40% · 26% · 34%
Bournemouth
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.48

Home xG

1.74

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

West Ham Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▲
▲
▲
10/2 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester United FC D 1.55
7/2 Burnley FC 0-2 West Ham United FC W 1.45
31/1 Chelsea FC 3-2 West Ham United FC L 1.05
24/1 West Ham United FC 3-1 Sunderland AFC W 1.57
17/1 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-2 West Ham United FC W 1.16

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▼
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.51
7/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa FC D 1.62
31/1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.55
24/1 AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool FC W 1.35
19/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 AFC Bournemouth D 1.62
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Bournemouth leads the Premier League in PPDA (Pressing Intensity), which will likely overwhelm West Ham's midfield pivot of Soucek and Fernandes.

trending_up 2

West Ham has dropped 20 points from winning positions this season, the highest in the league, indicating a severe vulnerability in the final 20 minutes.

person 3

Bournemouth is currently on a 6-match unbeaten streak with high xG consistency (averaging 1.6+ per game), while West Ham has frequently outperformed their xG, suggesting a potential regression to the mean.

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Injuries & Absentees

West Ham is missing the injured Pablo Felipe (calf) and the suspended Freddie Potts, though Jean-Clair Todibo returns to the defense. Bournemouth travels without Justin Kluivert and Marcus Tavernier (doubtful), but their tactical system is designed to be 'plug-and-play', minimizing the impact of individual absences.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for West Ham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 40% for West Ham, 26% draw and 34% for Bournemouth.

What is the recent form of West Ham and Bournemouth?

West Ham form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for West Ham vs Bournemouth?

West Ham is missing the injured Pablo Felipe (calf) and the suspended Freddie Potts, though Jean-Clair Todibo returns to the defense. Bournemouth travels without Justin Kluivert and Marcus Tavernier (doubtful), but their tactical system is designed to be 'plug-and-play', minimizing the impact of individual absences.

What time does West Ham vs Bournemouth kick off?

West Ham vs Bournemouth kicks off on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for West Ham vs Bournemouth?

The referee for West Ham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Sam Barrott.

What are the key factors for West Ham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for West Ham vs Bournemouth: 1. Bournemouth leads the Premier League in PPDA (Pressing Intensity), which will likely overwhelm West Ham's midfield pivot of Soucek and Fernandes. 2. West Ham has dropped 20 points from winning positions this season, the highest in the league, indicating a severe vulnerability in the final 20 minutes. 3. Bournemouth is currently on a 6-match unbeaten streak with high xG consistency (averaging 1.6+ per game), while West Ham has frequently outperformed their xG, suggesting a potential regression to the mean..

What are the Coach AI odds for West Ham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for West Ham vs Bournemouth: West Ham wins 40%, draw 26%, Bournemouth wins 34%. The most likely outcome is West Ham with 40%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.